38 Burst results for "Iowa"
Fresh update on "iowa" discussed on Robert Pratt
"Football. They're going to have to do that for four quarters. Give Derrick Henry To attack of Iowa faces Aaron Donald in his first NFL start following this week's by Dolphins switching to to over Ryan Fitzpatrick. Don't face the Rams next Sunday. Giant signed former pit start to bawl sheared coming off the worst start of the postseason. Just second loss of the season. Tyler Glass now opens the World Series for the Rays. Against childhood hero Clayton Kershaw on the Dodgers at eight key injury at Penn State they open against Indiana on Saturday. Tailback Journey Brown is out with an undisclosed medical condition. Coach James Franklin on the options. We feel very confident with Noah and feel very confident with Devon and be honestly, journeys had a huge impact on those guys. He's been great practice has been great meeting rooms, and I know he'll continue to do that. Men's soccer becomes the third pitch program to ever be ranked number one for no Panthers and Louisville on Friday. Jeff Hathorn is radio 10 20 Katy K. Sports. You get a whole lot of something with farmers policy perks so much I'm going to have to speed things up. You could get a new car replacement. So if your car is totaled, farmers will pay to replace it.
Iowa governor signs order restoring felon voting rights
"Thousands of Iowa felons who were previously unable to vote or now registered voters. W H O T V in Des Moines reporting. The Iowa secretary of State's office has atleast 2550 Iowans have had their voting rights restored since Governor Kim Reynolds Simon executive order in August. The secretary of state, says about 35,000 Iowans that have felony convictions are eligible to get their voting rights back
Fresh update on "iowa" discussed on Ben Ferguson
"Ivo, three used radio 1055. We are C k I V and two other female Republican governors calling for the confirmation of Supreme Court nominee Amy Cockney Barrett. In a joint statement. Ivy, South Dakota's Christy Nome and Iowa's Kim Reynolds say they support the judge because of her superior intellect, unflappable composure and impeccable integrity. Which they say combined to make Bharat eminently qualified in every way. Alabama's senators or split. Republican Richard Shelby strongly supports Barrett, while Democrat Doug Jones opposes her nomination. Senate leader Mitch McConnell is scheduled a final confirmation vote for next Monday..
Former Iowa football players threaten lawsuit, demand $20M and staff firings
"Of demands to the university, saying they would file lawsuits if they weren't met. The former athletes are seeking $20 million in damages and the termination of the teams head coach, assistant coach and athletic director Earlier this year, dozens of former Hawkeye players reveal claims of racial bias. Our next news update. Is it three o'clock I'm Tom Mustard on KO eighties radio 8:50, A.m. and 90 for one FM traffic Rick Walker. I
Fresh update on "iowa" discussed on Schopp and Bulldog
"Other news from around the league, the Dolphins officially named to a tongue of Iowa as their starting quarterback, moving forward that was first reported by Adam Schefter this morning. The New York Jets, maybe without quarterback Sam Darnold for this Cup coming Sunday's game against the Bills that was From head coach Adam Gaze earlier today. Joe Flacco has already been in Donald Place the last few weeks under center for New York in Philadelphia. Miles Sanders is going to be out 1 to 2 weeks with a knee injury and tight end Zach Ertz will miss a few weeks with an ankle injury as well. San Francisco Running back Rahim Mozart, likely head I R with a high ankle sprain. And involving trade rumors. Browns tight end David and joke who has requested a trade out of Cleveland before the November 3rd deadline, as has Bangles wide receiver John Ross. He has requested a trade out of Cincinnati and in baseball tonight, the 2020 Fall Classic gets underway from Arlington Task IT Arlington, Texas This year's neutral site location between the Dodgers and raise First pitch is set for 8 11 PM That game will be broadcasted on Fox and you can listen to it Right here on W G. Are those your sports headlines? Next update at six o'clock? I used to feel the bills are going to grow old with this dude With Josh Allen with McDermott. God willing, It's going to be years to come, but my home's.
As global infections pass 40 million, the COVID-19 fight goes local
"Virus cases. Now top 40 million more than 70,000 infections were recorded in this country Saturday. CBS's Lilia Luciano says that hasn't happened since July. 26 states are in the red Zone for new infections in all, 38 states have new cases trending up. Nationally over the last week, new cases jumped 18% averaging 51,000 Day. Five states have positivity rates higher than 20%, especially shocking South Dakota's rate 36% in Iowa, just under 50% in New York City officials managed to block a wedding in the Brooklyn Orthodox community that was expected to have 10,000 people attending. And Dr Anthony found, she
Perez on Biden's poll leads: Democrats 'take nothing for granted'
"I want to go back now to the presidential campaign and check in with both sides. First we go to the chairman of the Democratic Party, Tom Perez. Good morning to you. Good morning. Pleasure to be with you. Well, our CBS battleground tracker shows this morning that your candidate Joe Biden has the edge in both Arizona by three points, five point lead in Wisconsin. Ah, lot of that ultimately is going to be dependent on turnout. You think the Democratic Party has done enough in the mist of this pandemic to drive up either easy balloting or ability to go to the polls? I always caution people never get on the polar coaster. We take nothing for granted and the enthusiasm. Margaret has been all over the country. You saw the early vote totals in Wisconsin. Over a quarter of the people have already voted in Wisconsin. They voted absentee looked down in Florida 2.4 million people voted down there and what's really interesting is the Democrats overwhelmingly turning in their ballots, and 350,000 of the Democrats have turned in their ballots haven't voted in the last two elections, so it's not just people who we're voting for convenience. It's people who Haven't turned out and that shows the enthusiasm for Joe Biden and common Harris. We have a lot more work to do, but we're expanding. The battle grounds were competing in places like Arizona, Texas, Ohio, Iowa, George and elsewhere. And that's because we have a candidate who I think is just uniquely qualified to bring people together. He does have a plan to deal with our crisis are around a virus crisis, our economic crisis. He is a uniter. He's not a divider, And that is
Another day, another 100,000 ballots cast Friday in Houston's Harris County
"County clerk tweets. More than 8000 votes have been cast. More than half a million votes were cast an early voting in Harris County Friday. The 4th 100,000 plus day in a row. More people have voted in Harris County so far that have voted in the entire state of Iowa or the state of Tennessee or South Carolina or Colorado or Kentucky. So far in the state of Texas. More than 2,647,000 votes have been cast in the four days of early voting, and then one more bit of
Barron Trump tested positive for the virus but has since tested negative, Melania Trump says.
"Another member of the first families tested positive for covert. 19 ABC News chief White House correspondent Jonathan Karl reports first lady Melania Trump revealed not long after she became infected with Corona virus. Her quote fear came true that her son, Barron had tested positive, too. Luckily, he has a strong teenager and exhibited no symptoms, she wrote. He has sense tested negative. She shared the news in an article on the White House website entitled My Personal Experience with Covert 19. Minutes after the article was posted, President Trump was asked about his son as he answered. He quickly changed the subject to the confirmation hearings for Amy Cockney Barrett and his upcoming rally in Iowa.
Barron Trump tested positive for the virus but has since tested negative, Melania Trump says
"ABC News chief White House correspondent Jonathan Karl reports first lady Melania Trump revealed not long after she became infected with Corona virus. Her quote fear came true that her son, Barron had tested positive, too. Luckily, he is a strong teenager and exhibited no symptoms, she wrote. He has sense tested negative. She shared the news in an article on the White House website entitled My Personal Experience with Covert 19. Minutes after the article was posted, President Trump was asked about his son as he answered. He quickly changed the subject to the confirmation hearings for Amy Cockney Barrett and his upcoming rally in Iowa. Amy is doing a fantastic job heading out to Iowa way have a big rally a lot of people as always, but we have a lot of people on we look forward to it again. Amy, I think is doing an incredible job. In the past. President Trump has said young people, for the most part, are not in danger of getting covert 19. You look, you take your head off to the young because they have a hell of an immune system, but it affects virtually nobody. It's an amazing thing. As for the president himself after he was infected, he was taken via helicopter toe, one of the best hospitals in the world where he was treated for three days. He's now pronounced himself better than ever. I could feel
Trump's Town Hall On NBC To Overlap With Biden's On ABC
"Town halls tonight with the two presidential candidates. Last night, Joe Biden delivered a brief pretaped remark as part of the Muslims making Change National Honors event. You see what happens when a president fans the flames? Hate crimes on the march more kids bullied in school, the rise of anti Muslim bigotry. This is not who we are. President Trump was in Des Moines, Iowa, where he prays some foreign leaders. One thing I've learned presidents she of China. He's 100% Putin of Russia, 100%. Kim Jang gun, By the way, Whatever happened to that war? We were supposed to be a Kim Jong un of North Korea. 100% thes people is sharp in this barn. ABC news chief White House correspondent Jonathan Karl is with us this morning. Good morning. Good morning. This is an unusual situation with with these two competing town halls tonight. We've never seen anything like it. But then again, we've never seen anything like this campaign. You're gonna have both candidates at precisely the same time answering questions from voters on two different networks. Uh, it's it's a strange circumstance. This was supposed to be the second debate. Of course. Donald Trump dropped out of the second debate when the debate commission said it would be virtual do tow the outbreak at the White House. Ah, and you know, we've we've had this on the books and shortly after that, and NBC suddenly surprised everybody. By saying that they were going to do the same thing. But with Donald Trump in exactly the same time what we expect to hear from each of the candidates Well, I expect in terms of Joe Biden to hear him face some questions that he simply haven't answered, Uh, you know, he's a very unusual campaign because of the pandemic. Joe Biden has not taken a lot of questions for questions from actual voters. He hasn't taken really a lot of questions from journalists amazed on on some, but there are a lot of basic things he hasn't answered. I mean, most famously. What? What does he think about? Expanding the Supreme Court. What's his actual position on that? But also where exactly is he on the green New deal? We saw him kind of take two different positions during the last debate. Uh, where, you know, how is he going to work with Republicans? Is he going to put much of a priority and working with Republicans, as suggested in his convention, and in terms of Donald Trump is how does he turn his campaign around? You know, he's He's trailing, he's trailing. I mean, look, he was trailing in the polls four years ago, so we don't really know how this will play out. But there is far more than the polling on the state level this time around, and he does not have a lead in a single one of the top 12 battleground states in the recent polls. How is life changed for
Judge rules North Carolina must strengthen absentee ballot witness rule
"Two key rulings and toss up states are in the election spotlight as CBS News correspondent CANDY McCormick REPORTS a federal judge in North Carolina has ordered election officials toe update rules that will require absentee voters tohave a witness when they fill out their ballots, and they'll have to prove it in Iowa High Court has ruled in favor of President Trump's campaign. Refusing to throw out the invalidation of tens of thousands of absentee ballot forms that were mailed to voters with the personal information already filled out.
Trump rallies his base in Des Moines, Iowa
"Deminers. It's been a good time We've had a devil on Wednesday evening, President Trump was in Iowa. Leading a pact campaign rally at the Des Moines airport. They want to increase your taxes so they could spend it on the green new deal. In a statement, Joe Biden said the president was going to Iowa to quote spread more lies about the pandemic and distract from his record of failure.
Is Trump Losing the Midwest?
"Welcome to the be I'm Ari Melber and we are tracking some new sides. Trump campaign is worried about losing the Midwest and thus the entire race to Joe Biden trump spending precious time and resources on defense and state carried by wapping ten points. Last Cycle Iowa Biden is closing that gap and putting the state in a dead heat I was one of the thirty nine states Kobe is surging appointed his greeting donald trump's visit many voters their view this campaign homestretch through the prism of covert. And the criticisms not just coming from Joe Biden or the Resistance Iowa leaders, public health experts, independent writers all noting the trump is coming back now for votes after turning his back on the crisis there take the influential Des Moines Register stating that after jeopardizing our live from far. Trump decides to visit Iowa in person. Or take a look at this. You can't pull up trump's I will rally tonight without seeing this massive billboard pointing the way to yes. A super spreader of. Trump is plowing forward on breaking CDC guidelines lying about the risk of Colbert and the timing of vaccine and repeating two thousand sixteen claims in that state and in other key battleground states that from what we're seeing on the ground and our reporting may not play as well. Right now Democrats, say many measurable signs show that some voters are now onto the con- take a local paper in the state of Pennsylvania noting that trump is just recycling is two thousand, sixteen jobs message, which may work less during the current recession while the president blows up these stimulus talks this week. And his key groups like suburban women turn on Donald Trump that's according to internal polling newly obtained by politico or senior citizen's wavering on trump group that he needs for a winning coalition in several of these states, and since we were last on air just last night, roughly three more million ballots are in leading to nearly fifteen million total ballots cast, which again is vital because it may lock in votes at a time when Donald Trump appears down. So. If you follow all this stuff, you could see the facts trump's record are hurting him. But with the second debate canceled this week, not everyone's falling all the details which is important to keep in mind and that's true. We checked even in some key states that the candidates are visiting even for people who do read the paper. Take Florida which so many politicos obsessed over even when the candidates are on the ground I wanNA show, you hear a fairly typical big city paper, the Orlando Sentinel, the twenty, twenty race it's not the very top story or line. It's not top two on the right. You have to squint there and find it. We put it in red for you below the full in the very lower right hand corner, and that's with the nominee Joe Biden on the ground. Elections are one on preference and turnout. Popularity or preference really helps. But turnout commander more. That's how unpopular person like Donald trump managed to eke out a win in the electoral college in the first place even though remember he never pulled very high. He never pulled past fifty percent and he finished with few voters supporting him in our weird. Constitutional System. By right now, thanks from that evidence. We showed you in what we've been showing you throughout the week that they are up. So they're laser on taking that preference and trying to get the turnout with these growing leads states that trump won in two thousand sixteen big leads in some places above the margin of error and the question is, can the Democrats actually turn all those people out? I want to bring in someone who knows all about this polling Guru Cornell Belcher who worked on both Obama campaigns and wanting to taller the national political director for supermajority, which focuses ongoing political opportunities for women good evening to both of you. Cornell when you see the numbers up. What is the vital part for campaigns in October as voting's begun interning turning preference in turn out into victory? I think are a couple of things are really important. The numbers that are structurally different from twice I wanted to make that plex a lot of people still nervous about twenty sixteen. Structurally this is different than twice a couple of ways. One is different than to sixteen. In that in all these polls are driven showing by actually has a majority. And that is critical I. don't care if you're five, six, seven points. If you're below majority crazy things can happen. But in most of these bound states and certainly the national polling, he's now at a majority in Washington Post polling which I which I pay attention to hear because they they have the third party candidate in there as well. He's still at a majority you remember. Hillary was always ahead in the forced to way choice coastal majority but with the third party candidates who. Turned up the instrumental she was never had a majority of that. She got in nationally law with what what we saw with third-party Cornell just to pause on that point you raise because this matters you're pointing out that sometimes the question the voters get on the phone is different than what they're going to see. If they turn out, they get presented with two and it can change the actual science of what we're getting when they're gonNA go in the ballot box and see three or more explain to us exactly what's different now or what you think that there's more optimism for Biden compared to that. There was a protest right and we understood that that that that the third party candidates were repealing. A inaudible segment of the electorate who who, who was my time voted for for Bronco Rock Obama and nowhere is that more crystal clear than the State Wisconsin, what you saw those young people third party forty we also understand that the Russians have had a big play in and try and direct some of those specials and African American voters toward party candidate candidate candidates here. But even with their and candidates right now structurally, Biden has a majority of which is which is good and it's a stable majority. Are This is unusual in that you can't go back in the last two or three decades seeing where a Democrat has held a double digit lead nationally embattled most these battleground states for not one month that two months, three months. But basically, since June so structurally, this is very different and within the numbers is very different because when you look at right now you know among College White Women, the Horse Races Twenty seven, sixty, nine ad from the Washington. Post poll so know. So, you're talking about structurally this lead in and his support is very different than what we saw. Hillary Clinton Sixteen in two thousand sixteen quite frankly I'm gonna Bama and teen got but this is structurally even different than what we saw for Brock Obama. In Twenty, eight, twenty, twelve in two. Thousand eight I'M GONNA bring. You Anita? But. You're saying it diplomatically are you saying you think the number support a bigger margin for buying than what Obama One? Is Is blasphemed don't Tell Brak. Obama but I. Joe By going to beat it by. Wow don't you know it doesn't work when you say don't tell someone, but you're on live TV. That's really you are I mean again, I just want to underscore this. Again, we're following the the numbers and I've tried to show viewers we're GONNA continue report for you. Particularly, the votes cast the voter registration were at fifteen million votes. The election has begun, which is different than a hypothetical poll six months ago so we have an Obama pollster. Saying tonight, he is seeing the elements of the larger victory for Biden and Obama that you own that. Not Me that's really interesting coming from you cornell. Elliott. said it you're not telling you. There's no things what they're. Not. GonNa, let you forget this. I don't see it. But what I do see is absolutely the margins nationally the margins in these battleground states are undeniable but also an organizer. So first and foremost I'm always going to default to this is a turnout game. It is all about the people get showing up. I am absolutely looking at that almost fifteen million votes cast number and have optimism optimism about what we can expect to see as we get closer to the election cycle and I'm also a woman optimistic about women boating and turning out their friends and their. Families to make sure that binding gets over the finish line because what what is interesting here is Bala failures that you mentioned about trump and your opening are like boater boater spill that and voters are living that every single day. So on top of all them enthusiasm for a Biden Harris, they're taking their lived experience in an ongoing pen to make that didn't have to be this way in an economic recession that again didn't have to be this way but are here but we're all here because of trump and his administration's ineptitude.
Trump rallies in Iowa
"Trump is holding a rally in Iowa at this hour where the polls show a dead heat. White House correspondent Greg Clugston reports. The president won Iowa in 2016 but finds himself in a tight race against Democrat Joe Biden. After rallies this week in Florida and Pennsylvania. Mr Trump will address supporters at the Des Moines International Airport. With Corona virus cases on the rise. In Iowa, the mayor of Des Moines expressed concern about the rally becoming a super spreader event. But the Trump campaign says the event will be in an open door airplane hangar with temperature checks and masks. Greg Clugston, traveling with the president.
Trump rallies in Iowa
"President Trump holds a rally in Iowa this evening, where the presidential polls show a dead heat. White House correspondent Greg Clugston reports. The president won Iowa in 2016 but finds himself in a tight race against Democrat Joe Biden. After rallies this week in Florida and Pennsylvania. Mr Trump will address supporters at the Des Moines International Airport. With Corona virus cases on the rise. In Iowa, the mayor of Des Moines expressed concern about the rally becoming a super spreader event. But the Trump campaign says the event will be in an open door airplane hangar with temperature checks and masks. Greg Clugston, traveling with
Verizon Wireless CEO on what iPhone 12 getting 5G means for the industry
"With me to help interview Ronin is my colleague you'll have Blumenthal Roger. Ronin thanks for joining US pleasure so You've been working for a while now it's the industry has been working on for a while it's been live for almost two years at this point. But how big of a deal is it that apple is finally getting into the five day game. So Roy, if I may just take people back is you know great debt technologies when they arrive needs to be deployed within an ecosystem and we started like three plus years ago and we have the technology for more. We brought best in class partners together and said, look within this five G. is going to be huge we want to accelerate. The development of the standards, the development of the of the equipment. So we kind of put our money where out was early on, and since then we've been in the vanguard and really the announcements today are a combination of that two to three year cycle where we've worked with chipset manufacturers, we've worked with network equipment vendors and we've worked with all of the premium device manufacturers in the world, and we brought together a very clear understanding the potential of both five G. and particularly five G. A. millimeter waves, and that has resulted in this year long now after the announcements from Apple Twenty five, five G. devices coming to. The US, all of which you're supporting at millimeter wave and really reflecting I believe an accelerated adoption curve that can only get faster. Now that apple in Iowa have joined the party now you spent a year and a half touting the insane speeds that you get with that millimeter way side p speeds but realistically for Law Folks Buying, an iphone twelve of their likely will be accessing the Logan five through the nationwide work announced today. I'm just curious how you are either educating or bracing consumers. On, what could be a disappointing first impression of five G. because it's not quite those millimeter way speeds low band is at this point, you know an incremental upgrade over our faster four g networks. So I'd break it into two parts, the devices that are coming to market today in the recent past from other device manufacturers have chipsets in them, which are optimized to use the existing technologies for Jim Five G. Even better to deliver better experiences better battery life better capabilities on the devices. So there's An proposition for any. Who is considering upgrading? The second thing is in today was a perfect demonstration of it. The pace of software innovation around networks is faster than it's ever been. We announced today that because of the availability of ATC on the down Lincoln to see on the up link with Camera Gatien that we've essentially doubled the spades in millimeter wave, but it's not about speed. Speed in our business is a proxy for capacity and capability, and so think about it is is it that somebody needs four gigs or is it that a thousand people in a stadium or all streaming four? K At exactly the same time? That's the question that you have to answer, and so the opportunity for customers to enjoy both fabulous ultra why bound experiences but also because of our commitment to ultra wideband in those densely populated areas in the high traffic areas, actually the flow to the ultra wideband network is also freeing up the very best of the best in class for Jail T. network we have a now five gene nationwide covering over two hundred million. Of the US population so it is a win win it gets better for everybody. Okay. So talking about that you know win win and getting people onto five G. Phones, that's obviously a big opportunity for getting people to switch and get onto the new networks with your approach with dss, is there an added incentive for you guys to get people to upgrade so that you can restart reallocating spectrum from four G. L. T. to five G. when in fact, it's almost the the country while we're absolutely excited about telling the five story to our customers. The use of DSS means that we don't have to artificially partition between one part of our spectral bands and another to create individual lanes for individual technologies we allow seamless access across the network. Occasioned by the management of that network in a way that says if there's more need for four G. than we have it, if there's more need for five G. Than we have, that's a distinct alternative to somebody saying I have a dedicated line for five G. and if it's empty, it stays there unused. So we it's highly efficient in the way we use it, and therefore we think gives the best experienced about I wasn't willing to compromise my for gop experience of which might customers came for. In in a rush to the experience, what I've committed to is building the best four g LTE network and then on top of the best five G. Nationwide and the new five jailed for wideband. Network and that's part of Verizon's consistent commitment to delivering quality experience choice. That's our value proposition
Indiana on Chicago's quarantine list
"Officially added Indiana to its coded 19 quarantine order. Public Health Commissioner Dr Allison are witty says that while putting neighboring states on the list is not easy, it is a necessity all around us. There is trouble. Wisconsin has a very poorly controlled outbreak. Indiana has a poorly controlled outbreak Iowa, Missouri and parts of downstate Illinois. The list currently includes 25 states and the territory of Puerto Rico. The North suburban
Trump Repeats Claim He Is ‘Immune’ To Covid As He Proposes Kissing Audience Members
"Boy. Donald Trump's been talking off a lot about that lately. Here is last night in a rally kiss Every guy, man and woman, man and Woman. Look at that guy Trump. Now at two state rallies, has been talking about kissing people. We're joined now by Trump Campaign senior adviser Steve Cortes. We know he's making the point, Steve that he feels so good. After recovering from Corona virus, he could kiss people, But in my commentary yesterday, I asked if the president comes here that he vows to not even threatened to kiss anybody. Can you make that valve for him? Steve? I will in his stead. Well, actually, I shouldn't say that because you never know. Right. Trump is such a jokester. You never know what he's going to say about how much I will promise He will not actually do it. Okay. Don't kiss. Candle in the crowd and start kissing people randomly. Hey, listen, it would win this election. I'd be happy to give him a kiss. Okay, well, there you go. Hey, let's talk about him coming because he was in Florida on Monday in Pennsylvania last night. He's scheduled to be in Iowa today. Are we going to see the president back in Arizona once, maybe even twice before Election Day. You know, I don't know about twice. But yes. Once I can guarantee I can't divulge details yet, But he will be there. Yes, And twice is not an impossibility with travel schedule. This guy, Keith, We just haven't gotten that far out on the counter, but But you will be
Why Not Just Be The Best?
"All right. So Last weekend was insane I duNNo. If I told you this yet private and county deep. But I chance to go speaker Gingrich Season Tony Robbins Event Tony's studio which he built a huge studio and covert hit Zoom rumors like this huge stadium, rapin zoom walls and. It was crazy scam. You saw that pitchers but it was really special and really fun and we're actually flew there in Tony's private plane, which was crazy she his house and just it was really special weekend but. Telling you too much of that. I was thinking go deeper. So many crazy. A three call talking about although haase antiquated from that. I. Will drop out to you throughout the next few episodes but. There's one thing that's interesting. So We decided women, there were six days, which is kind of cool. We had out some really cool people and just relax and take a break a little bit and you know at the hotel there's so gets the scoop massages. So we started from Sasha two different days and obviously now the Cova, there's weirdness Boise Lovato. Idaho's is different but in Florida, were at, they have different rules rights face masks more often all sorts of stuff. So go get our first massage and He didn't there and it was only sixty minute massage because that's all they had time for that day or whatever, and this comes out she puts on plastic gloves, which was kind of weird Mike wasn't my favorite by Monica. Whatever. So And It was not it was not my favorite massage. Partially because they anyway, there are a lot of reasons why I just it was. Annoyed like it wouldn't feel good. It was just like she was technically giving massage but was not getting Sasha so much. So by the end of my sixty minutes like normally get a ninety minute massage and my sixteen massage like I just wanted to be done I was like it was like the longest sixty minutes life miserable I didn't have a good time and is even thinking like I hate massage like maybe maybe changed mental like the January maybe whatever and I'm so annoyed and finally got Donald. Kevin's is over I give me out of here and I just like Laugh A. Beautiful SPA and all these like I'm done like I don't I don't do beside I don't do. Anymore despise like I just had a horrible experience I I make. ASSANGE again anime rafter. GotTa massages later and then met afterwards and and I was like that was horrible. I don't ever want to give me Josh again and he said we have booked for tomorrow. May I know him? I don't really want to go as we cancel and. anyway it was just it was interesting. So. Next I go back because they have a twenty four hour cancellation periods have to Sasha like massages. This is GonNa be ninety minutes I'm going to be miserable. Just the whole thing right. So get there and kind of bad attitude and talking to Susan she's different person in super. Nice, and we we out massages she starts. The same thing has for the plastic gloves, which is kind of annoying but whatever. Does massage and this time it is a complete experience. was like an artist like it was it was amazing. Everything. It's Chris spend the same amount of money both massages. Right and the first one I wanted to die I wanted to get off the table on the right next person was insane. They were amazing like the ninety minutes was over and I was like, are you kidding me like I want to give you some more money? I spent flip back over and keep doing this back and forth all day. Until your to your shift or whatever like it was it was it was amazing and I remember laying there thinking about how like just twenty four hours earlier massage from person CEO same same spa everything and how I hated it, and this was amazing. Why would they compete anything to continue this experience longer and I started thinking about? This right both of these people would consider themselves from sizes masseuses right Both and got paid to say May to do the job but one was artist one was great. What they do and one was just did the thing, right? And I started thinking about my life lake. Everything. I've done I've tried. I don't know I always wanted to be the best I remember when I was wrestling about this this. This tape has s tape pre DVD's. And it was. The story about Tom Terry brands were twin brothers who are wrestlers, Iowa. Remember the movie started with I tom brands he comes and says, my name's Tom Brands my goal simple going to be the best wrestler in the world. Next thing came up as Terry brant my goal simple. I want to be the best wrestler in the whole world and that's how starts and boom. It goes into training montage and stuff and I was just like, yes. I remember thinking I. Can make my name's Russell Brunson the great wrestler in the world right and so I because I didn't want to be a good wrestler I want to be like okay. I wanted to be the best in the world and obviously never got there. That was my belief because I got way for the night probably ever should've gotten my skill and talent level right? I've state champ. I was an all American second in the Nation High School into college. Rank the top ten college never place NCA but but you know I did I heard your career and which to business was the same thing I got into business I wasn't on make moody who I was like. The greatest market ever lived like if I'm doing this job anywhere might as well take the amazing it right like. and. And I was just thinking about during massage just like people have the same job title. One's amazing ones like. You know and I think about for all of us like my kids. I. Keep with my kids and I don't care. We don't care what you WanNa be when you grow up like don't be like, okay. Be The best in the world like. A how do you? How do you become amazing not just give amazing. What are you have to do different I don't know I don't know how to teach that exactly more. So than just like helping has want that desire like don't be the crappy I think about funnel building right like th. There's tons of you without teaching fungibility and doing fun bill and you can hire someone and you will they hire someone in they get a funnel in the funnel stocks and she's like. You know your federal building become the best in the world obsess about designing copying all these things that when you build someone to funnel like you handed to them, it should be art they should be away by just like you know the second has blown away like. That's experience when a gift somebody if you can't give some experience like you need to geek out more, you got to go deeper you had become better. Become the best in the world that you are in your craft whatever it is right. If I was a dentist locators dentist, but there's there's amazing dense chiropractic. I won't be good chiropractor on the best in the world.
President Trump ramps up rally schedule after testing negative for COVID-19
"To ramp up the campaign schedule for the president. More on that with ABC is Lionel Boy use fresh off his rally in Sanford, Florida America. Great again, the Trump campaign announcing even more rallies this week, the president will campaign in Ocala, Florida and making Georgia Friday. He also has stopped scheduled in Johnstown, Pennsylvania, Tuesday. Des Moines, Iowa, Wednesday and Greenville, North Carolina, Thursday. Lionel
"iowa" Discussed on The Amateur Traveler Podcast
"I'd like to welcome to the show Sarah brewers from travel with Sara, , dot com, , and also mid west travel network, , DOT COM and oddly enough we're going to talk about the mid West and specifically serious here to talk to us about Iowa Sarah Welcome to the show. . Thank you for having me. . I'm excited to be here excellent well and I put out the. . Word among my travel blogger brethren and written and I don't think that this thing put a couple of weeks ago and said, , I've got three missing states I missing Iowa Nebraska and Hampshire, , and at least one person I think it was more than one said if you want Iowa have to talk to Sarah and why is that? ? Sarah. . What's the connection to Iowa? ? Well I live in Iowa. . I have lived here all my life and I live on I will farm I'm married the neighbor boy in two thousand eight I started a blog and it was in two thousand thirteen that I really dove into the travel side of things. . But the one thing that I realize is a lot of people didn't know a whole lot about the mid West or my home state of Iowa in. . Most people don't realize that I will has beautiful cornfields and soybean fields we have that, , but we have a lot of other amazing things and that's why you need to come to Iowa to visit and we're GONNA get into all of those today and I can't wait to share I. . Clinical Slices a paradise will normally ask why someone should go I. . Think you jumped into that one ahead of time anything else you would add to that I will surprise you I think the art, , the culture, , the scenic byways will blow you away. . You could spend probably one home month exploring Iowa's scenic byways and I think that's pretty darn. . Cool excellent will and where are you going to take us to what you're gonNA recommend where we starting. . Well, , let's start and do and. . North, central. , . Iowa. Route, . , which is near where I live. . I live near Mason. City. . . Mason. . City Clear Lake and we're GONNA go to Charles City those three towns there, , and then he can go up to forest city where you can see we're winnebago motorhomes are made. . So you start in Mason city, Mason , cities, , a great base camp, , and I would recommend that you stay in the park in hotel. . The parking hotel is the last known hotel in the world designed by Frank Lloyd Wright. . Can stay there. . Okay. . People come from all over the world to Mason City Iowa population twenty six thousand something. . So I have to Mason City, , but I stayed in the holiday and see this is my mistake. . You need to come back and see if the. . I'll give you the grand old tour I. Didn't . know he had designed any hotels. . That's true. . The first thing people say to me is Oh I don't think I could afford to stay there. . and. . I'm telling you that rooms at the Parken Hotel in Mason city. Iowa. . . Are Very affordable. . I'm talking one twenty, , nine to one, , fifty, , nine at night in a historic hotel. . Designed by Frank Lloyd. . Wright. . I mean that is amazing. . So when you're in Mason City, you , want to do the river city's sculptures on parade, , which is a sculpture walk, , and it's always fun because I travel a lot and you know these artists that create these sculptures are all across America and maybe some of you've seen the Humpty dumpty sculpture that's around. . I. . Know I'M Thinking, , the last place I saw one was in Mesa Arizona Okay I just have to take a Selfie with it because I'm like here's how you know Humpty kind of manages to be wherever I am but the sculptures are really a nice walk because they also take you through the Rock Glen area in Mason City, , which is where there are other Frank Lloyd Wright designed homes. . So is not only the hotel. There's . other homes there as well and McKnight or art museum is a fantastic museum in town. . They have the bayard puppets, , Baird Marionettes, , wizard of Oz the marionnettes that we're using the wizard of Oz are in the museum in Mason City and you can go across the street to Music Man Square we what puppets were in wizard of Oz are we talking about flying monkeys or what? ? Yes. . Monkey is there okay it's a really Nice Museum but then you go across the street and you go to Meredith Wilson's boyhood. . Home The music man. . So, , Meredith Wilson was born in Mason city. . Iowa. . And the Music Man Square has museum in there that is home to. . Meredith Willson. . So in the streetscape is in there and it looks just like in the movie, , but you would envision it. . So that's pretty cool. . Meredith Willson he's also buried in Mason City and you know what? ? There's a lot of people that look for famous people were buried. . You know who knew a lot of people cemetery tourism is kind of a big deal but then you go, , let's go estimates saying you've already Charles City and get to Whitewater rafting most people don't think of Iowa and Whitewater rafting. . And you can do that in Charles City Iowa. . In Charles City I'm not sure eight, , ten thousand people maybe. . And you can stay in a luxury cabin there at red? Cedar. ? . Lodge cabins that are overlooking the river great place for extended families to stay. . But you've got the river
"iowa" Discussed on Left, Right & Center
"It will help us to run a cleaner election going forward but but it is disturbing for the moment is the answer to junk caucuses altogether. I'm not to that point yet But I'm certainly very sympathetic. PEDIC people who are making that argument. Can we turn and talk about general elections Rick what are you afraid of as we turn toward November what could go wrong As this States and counties tried to administer general election. Well I think we can I wa is a microcosm of what can go wrong. which is that immediately? I think just as is The Iowa Democratic Party was a little late in getting. Its message out. You had the trump campaign manager in the trump children's suggesting that this was rigged and you know there were messages that were being amplified by outside bots so anytime you have a close election. People people might question the results. But we're when we're in such hyper polarized environment right now and we're social media can amplify all kinds of conspiracy theories I'm I'm worried about the losers of the twenty twenty election accepting the results as legitimate. You know you're going to have forty seven forty eight percent of the population. That's going to be very unhappy. Be With what happens in November and we're going to focus our attention not on you know where things went right which is likely it's going to happen in the vast majority of the country but those places places where things went wrong and if that happens to be in a swing state where there's You know some maladministration. I think we're in for a very bumpy ride. And so what do you do from an election administration perspective to address that because I mean people are going to say what people are going to say. I don't think you can really change that That much through election policy. But what do what do election the administrators need to do to try to encourage people to to take the results as legitimate and to avoid Good reasons for people to think that they are not legitimate. It's not just election LECTU administrators. It's a lot of different groups and I would start with the media so the first thing is you know we had a negative countdown clock on CNN when the results were not announced. There's this pressure pressure to get things out immediately. We're GONNA have a state like Pennsylvania which has had its fair share of election administration problems in the past. It is going to switch to a brand new system system of absentee balloting will like we have here in California and there's GonNa be a flood of ballots. It's going to take days to report and so one of my nightmare scenarios roses. That trump could be ahead on election night but there will be hundreds of thousands of ballots yet to count and over the next few days as the negative countdown clock is going on. CNN and eventually his Democratic opponent is declared the winner and if Pennsylvania is the pivotal state. Then you know you can have two different sides declaring themselves the winter and lots of people not believing that the later count was fair. We saw trump do this very thing in two thousand eighteen in the US. Senate race and Florida between Bill Nelson and Rick Scott where he suggested that ballots counted after election day where quote massively infected. Even there was zero proof of that. So I'm really worried about maladministration maladministration combined with conspiracy theories and agitation in a way that could cause people to doubt the results of the election. Rick Hassen of the University of California at Irvine in his new book is called Election Meltdown. Dirty tricks distrust and the threat to American democracy. Rick thank you for joining US thank you. We've reached that time once again for our fame. Differing central rants featuring pet peeves from across the political spectrum. Trim.
"iowa" Discussed on Left, Right & Center
"Back again with left right and center. I'm your host Josh. Barrow on the right light is Tim. Carney commentary editor at the Washington. Examiner on the left is Elizabeth Brunette columnist at the New York Times The New York. Times pollster nate Cohn has called this year's Iowa Democratic caucus quote the worst conceived and executed electoral contest. I have ever seen unquote. It's not just that the countess taken forever and that the party couldn't even get partial results announced until the afternoon following the caucuses. It's at the process has been full of mistakes at one point. The party accidentally awarded Sanders delegates to Tom. And Patrick. Apparently they had a Jason Collins in a spreadsheet. The party's been fighting with the Democratic National Committee over Byzantine rules about allocating what are called state. Delegate equivalents from satellite caucuses. I'm not going to bore you with details but apparently the party's Party's literally sent out two contradictory sets of instructions about how to allocate these delegates and which set of instructions. You use makes a difference of about four. SD's out of a couple of thousand which sounds small but could mean the difference in who quote one that measure of the caucus. This is a less than ideal situation and talk about it. We're joined by Richard Hassen Richard as a law law and political science professor at the University of California Irvine. He's an expert in election law and his new book which came out Tuesday. The very confusing day after the Iowa caucuses is called election meltdown. Down dirty tricks distrust and the threat to American democracy Iraq. Good to be with you so this is good timing for you at least well. What's good for me is generally bad for the country? If people are calling my phone and ask me what's going on. It means that something's gone very very wrong. So what what went wrong here. I mean we know specifically you know what's what's been misreported out of Violin. What's been delayed? But what what do you when you look at this election. What mistakes did the Iowa Democratic Party make in the run-up the caused this to be such a mess? Well I think the first thing I should say preliminarily is that it's the Democratic Party. That's running this election. They do this once every four years. It's not the Iowa election officials who are running elections all the time and so anytime you're dealing with You know an infrequent occasion. It's GonNa be a problem but here. They tried a few new things I. They tried to the report issues using a new APP. An APP that they hadn't trained the precinct captains had a download They were using new counting rules. Instead of reporting one a number you had to report. Three numbers They had as you mentioned this problem of how they were even going to calculate as a very coveted formula and so And then I I should say. They mishandled their mess up so on the night of the caucus when it was clear that they couldn't announce the results. They should've just waited until they had everything in order. Instead you had results coming out in dribs and drabs and then you had a situation where they had to correct some of the numbers they put out. It just made the Democrats Democrats seem like the most incompetent election ministers around tim you were at a caucus site on Monday night and I guess you saw this election being maladministration real time. Yes it was. It was hard for me as as a dad to not try to correct the way it was being run because clearly things were being done out of order Voters were realigning before they had submitted. A ballot for who their original alignment was for the precinct chairman. They were to to women volunteers giving their whole time. They'd gone volunteer segments. But nobody had taught them how to talk into a microphone. So it was hard to hear in this auditorium. Many of the caucus-goers were hard of hearing and didn't hear the instructions and The precinct chairpeople. They counted the voters they did a headcount. Instead of looking at the ballot they submitted the ballot. So all of these things when against the way that I would run it when against away I think they should have run it. The Bernie people people left the room unhappy thinking of miscounted. I'm sure it's not the only room Were that had happened. The BUDAJ precinct. Captain had a lower count of her own voters voters than the The the chairman ended up reporting. So yeah it was. It was certainly a little bit messy. I've coached like youth right. Sports teams eight. Felt Kinda more like that than like a professional operation it Liz. I'm part of rick notes. How convoluted calculations in here in part this was a messy compromise? We've never had a raw vote. Total before in the Iowa caucuses normally they they report. What are called State delegate equivalents? We know after this whole messy realignment process. How many points basically each candidate got out of each site but this time for the first time we learned? How many people are we think we learned how many people came in initially saying time for candidate X? I'm for candidate why that ended up making the forums that these people had to fill out a lot more complicated I it sort of looked to me like basically if you handed a bunch of you regular ordinary people who are volunteering their time if you handed them tax forms and basically were like you know here calculate your taxes in thirty minutes by hand a lot of people would screw it up and it seems like. That's exactly what happened here. And maybe an an a an inevitable outcome of trying to please everybody in the process basically having this initial headcount because Bernie Sanders you know th his supporters thought maybe he would have won it last time and they want to be known and yet not changing some of the other convoluted rules that people were invested in for whatever reason in the Iowa Democratic Democratic Party. Yeah I mean when there was agreement on You know registering all three counts. It was incumbent upon the Iowa Democratic Party at that point to train all the administrators of these different precinct caucuses on how to make that happen. The fact that they agreed to to these new procedures and just figured it would all work out is baffling It's madness I mean again. You can see why people are defaulting to a conspiratorial Tori view which is not the view that I hold But you can see why because it's difficult to imagine adults in the in the alternate universe where they realized they're going to undertake not only a completely new procedure for reporting results but a completely new procedure for doing using this untested APP. And then feel like of of you know people will just sort of figure it out. It reminds me of when I was in high school. Doing very complicated forms of debate and they would periodically have rounds judged by bus drivers or parents who had not not only no idea how to judge this activity but no idea how to even record their judgments on the paper ballot And I it wasn't a conspiracy. Then it's not a conspiracy now. No I don't think my contacts in the sanders campaign don't feel like they're being conspired against by the IEP it's just that the level of competence is is baffling and galling Rick. Is there a good way to conduct. Caucuses I mean not you note. That states have professional and counties have professional election departments. Where people do this for a living and they're used to it but but I mean is there a way to do caucuses that ends up being fair and and reflecting the intent of the voters or as one of the lessons here basically that states should just have regular primaries? Well I've been on record for a long time saying that we should junk the Caucasus. For other reasons. You know. In terms of how undemocratic they are people can't get to the caucus at the right time and they can't participate in the same way you know th the Republicans run it is. It's essentially like a party run primary You know there is not aught this more convoluted way of moving around. If you don't reach viability I think we should get rid of the caucuses now for another reason which is that. We can't trust the parties. I went back and looked I wrote columns back in Two Thousand Sixteen Twenty twelve two thousand eight about problems in administering caucuses i. I was just the worst example of a very common problem when you don't have professionals nationals running an election isn't there a case though for the idea that parties are an ought to be private entities. And that getting your name on say the Democratic Line in a in a An election ought to be up to the Democratic Party that the state's job is to administer the general roll action so this is kind of an old fashioned argument making but my my friend will Wilkinson. Who Lives in Iowa and is on the left? He has made this argument as well. That it's a bit odd that we we should have our government and these professionals you're talking about be in the business of determining of running who is on who is nominated by a private David entity like a party. Well you know primaries and The first stage of elections. It's kind of this weird hybrid because parties are private but get there sometimes seen as public actors actors for example the Supreme Court said long ago that parties can't have racial discrimination in their procedures and the Supreme Court said that although a party can decide whether or not it wants its primary open or closed if a state wants to say no caucus no convention. You have two primary. The state can say that so You know we have to go back in time a a while back to really see this as a as a private activity. It's the first stage of a two-stage general election. I think is a fair way to think about it. Liz is I think Sanders supporters have often been inclined toward caucuses because he did especially well in caucuses in in two thousand sixteen They benefit him to the extent that caucus electorates tend to be younger. Older people seem more reluctant to go out and spend hours at these meetings And also because they tend to skew toward very active very motivated people in Sanders does well when when the electorate skews that way so as you know is is there an argument for you know caucuses. That aren't run this poorly but do you know do do people who are Bernie Sanders. Do they want to give up the caucus system do they. I think that The primaries are more fair because they're easier to vote him. Well I mean. I think that caucuses reward organizing and that's a strength of the sanders. This campaign was also a strength of the Obama Campaign So very activist. Democrats are are going to favor caucuses. I mean I think that there are certainly only a case to be made for Junkin caucuses that are run like this You know in a perfect world where the administration of the caucuses was much better. And and I think it's it's worth pointing out. I was talking to my colleague Nate Cohn this morning And I it's quite possible that the Iowa caucuses have been really messed up forever And and we just haven't realized it until the discrepancies emerged in the reporting because of the new rules this time so in the end maybe this was helpful in that it will..
"iowa" Discussed on Left, Right & Center
"Think about we're going to get the people to the polls that stories. You would hear about an old time. You know democratic machine or an old time Republican Party. These parties don't exist and this is not going to be a controversial statement. I don't think the Iowa Democratic Party is very good at doing its job and so when you're looking at when you're looking at who the democratic socratic nominee is going to be. If it really matters to that they win. You have to take into account the fact that the Democratic Party on the national level and on the state levels is very weak. So it's kind of the Republican Party but when you control the White House there's a level of sort of centralisation and organization that you're going to have their and so you are going to. I need somebody who can sort of do the the nuts and bolts of the fact. Is that Barack. Obama was absolutely amazing at Organizing at planning at the sort of Strategically that you were talking about that. Buddhism did and I think some people thought Joe Biden was going to be that guy but he wasn't the guy who's virtuous opposed electability. Liberty is showing himself that he doesn't do these kinds of things. Liz is talking about that help. You actually win including organizing. I don't think anybody's going to contest test Tim's claim that the Democrat Party is not very good at what it does. I was wondering what that looked like this week on the ground as the results didn't come in and didn't come in and and didn't come in and then they're all these questions about whether the results were correct and they had to revise things they reported previously. How is that being received by the campaigns as that process awesome going on I mean initially? The campaigns were extraordinarily frustrated. Right But I think that a lot of the campaigns benefited fitted from the chaos as well. I mean obviously people to judge but almost two straight days where he was able to claim that he was the victor And and add go into New Hampshire pretending to be the front runner when we didn't know whether or not he was And he has benefited from polling already. There there's been uptick in where he's pulling in New Hampshire and I don't know if it'll hold through primary day But I I think that that is probably worked out and people just favor And it probably worked out. Joe Biden favor as well I think being able to leave Iowa In a state of uncertainty and should be able to say no. We need to wait for the results rather than accept You know a fourth place to feed immediately was probably beneficial to the campaign But what I wanted to say you know. What are the strangest things to me throughout this primary has been you hear the argument from people to judge? You hear it certainly certainly from from Joe Biden and you hear it from Amy Klobuchar that they are each the candidates who are going to be able to do. What's absolutely necessary to win? which is to get voters who perhaps either voted for Donald Trump? Or could be convinced to vote for Donald Trump to actually support them instead and that seems to me like a much much harder. Sell much harder to accomplish than to just improve turnout among people who are definitely Democrats over twenty six uh-huh and and I. I can't really make sense of argument. I it just seems it seems like impossible when you talk to trump voters even if you've talked to moderate Republicans It seems like the instances consider which that would be a successful strategy. It would probably be a very very few but to get to improve now. It seems like something that a party should just be able to to Seems like there's a lot of technology that the parties could be utilizing to do that As that they've had years now. It's work on that and that is not really an argument that you hear her Any campaign other than the Sanders Campaign And they they've been stressing in the final days leading up to the caucus one of the most frequent things. I heard from Bernie Sanders with that turnout. That was high. He would probably be doing well in the caucus that would be a sign that they would win. If it was low he probably would not win. that campaign is hyper aware of What turnout out means for them But the other campaigns being much more interested in trying to convince people that they're going to get voters to hate them. Choose somehow somehow come to their side. Liz to Libya's point there if Alluvia pointed to some reasons that the chaos and delay in reporting the results may have been good for people who may have been good for Joe Biden this zero sum game. It can't be good. For All the campaigns I think Bernie Sanders may be has reasons to feel like you know he would have been able to claim a clean victory at least in the first preference. Vote if not you know the the delegates are going to be very close If there had been reporting earlier so I I would imagine that they're upset about this whole situation with the Iowa Democratic Party. Yeah and and I think they have good reason to be I mean the sheer incompetence and bumbling nature of the reporting here in and the Iowa caucuses has created an enormous amount of chaos. I think it's going to eventually Just sort of die in the news as we move on to the debate in New Hampshire meaning that The Iowa caucuses will basically be kind of a draw with Buddha judge and sanders both declaring victory Rian people saying well okay. Both of them have a point. Is that annoying for the sanders campaign. I'm certain that it is on the other hand There were reasons ends for this. The to work in sanders favor right so one of sanders. Talking points is that the Democratic Party is incompetent and that it has serious problems and there are a lot of good reasons to kind of the democratic infrastructure and replace it With better rules better procedures better people and so on and so forth And I think that this is this further To that point though of course the the Iowa Democratic Party he's not the DNC The DNC has not helped matters with Tom. Press calling for a re canvas So so I think that it could be helpful for Sanders. On that. What level it seems to have also invigorated sanders supporters but Not necessarily for great reasons so I think there's pretty widespread belief as far as I can tell just observing chatter attar among Sanders Supporters Online. That there was some level of corruption or conspiracy. Involved here with intentional Under reporting or misreporting of results to damage sanders. And I think that is going to be hard for the I.. d. p. and the DNC to overcome. And I think it could hurt the possibility the of Sanders supporters eventually supporting another Nominee if it's not Bernie so I think they have only worsened their position on that front so again in. It's hard to overstate how horrible failure this was and how bad it looks and what a problem. It's created for the party in a moment we'll delve into the nature of this failure with with Rick. Hassen who who is a lot of an expert on election law at UC Irvine. But let's leave that here now on this segment. Livy Newt See Washington correspondent for New York magazine. I want to thank you for joining joining us. Thank you still with me are on the left Lisburn of the New York Times and on the right Tim. Carney Washington examiner. And now it's time for tweet of the week. Sometimes it only takes one hundred forty characters. Or maybe maybe two hundred and eighty to distill the spirit of the week Tim. Carney what tweets struck you during the state of the Union. These days we all love to tweet and people look to find little observations Mak- Oh funny little joke or fact. Check the President Michael Barbaro notice something during the state of the Union address. The president pointed to Abrek. Cavenaugh Neal gorsuch his nominees and the crowd applauded them. And the two face each other and gave a nod this spawned. What I think was the tweeted the week that knowing nod between Cavanaugh and Gorsuch when trump mentioned him wow the federalist society nod God? This was a hilarious. Almost conspiracy theory that when two colleagues when they were called on in front of the whole House of Representatives and Senate nodded torch each other with somehow a secret signal from this conservative organization particularly ridiculous because the Federalist Society has secret handshakes this shakes and magic rings which we use to communicate and we would never do it on live national television Brunette. What's your tweet of the week? This tweet from our fallen comrade rich lowry after years of obsessive Russia this week he will be back with recipes after years of obsession with the Russians. The Democrats somehow managed to hack their own election. my tweet of the week comes from from Nate Cohn at the New York Times before the Iowa caucus results meltdown. There was the CNN to Moines Register. Poll meltdown when the most anticipated. Poll about the caucuses got pulled at the last minute because of collection error. Apparently one of the people who was conducting the survey had a screen with two bigger font size and that meant to cut off part of the candidate list and some of the people who were called all didn't get offered all the candidates What a mess and and Seltzer? Who has the poster ran? This poll has a reputation for doing highly accurate caucus. Polls which is why everyone wanted to see this one. One but cone argued on Monday night that her poll was similarly pressure this time he said no seltzer poll no results. It was inevitable. I've been talking with Liz. Brunner The New York Times and Tim. Carney of the Washington examiner we will be back with Rick. Hassen election law expert from UC Irvine to talk about why the.
"iowa" Discussed on Left, Right & Center
"Times to talk about Iowa. It wasn't right in the center. You're hearing from our left right and center and we want to hear from you to tweet us at L. R. C. KCRW and download download the free KCRW APP to listen to left right and center on demand back again with left right and center. I'm Josh Barrow of New York magazine on the right is Tim. Carney commentary editor at the Washington. Examiner on the left is Elizabeth runic columnist at the New York Times Times. The Iowa caucuses all over but the counting which is usually something you say when the polls close. But I'm saying this three and a half days nearly four days. After voting ended in the Iowa caucuses while the precise delegate allocation out of Iowa remains uncertain. The broad picture is clear Bernie Sanders got the most votes with people close behind Elizabeth Warren finished third it and Joe Biden's performance was the most disappointing. He came fourth. Even though the pre caucus polling average had him in a near tie for first with Sanders. I should note as I do. My husband is a professional sessional democratic political fundraiser. and His business. The cycle has included raising money to elect Pete Buddha judge to discuss what happened in Iowa why we're joined by Libyan newsy Washington correspondent for New York magazine who was on the ground in Iowa and joins us now from the campaign trail in New England highland. Hi thank you for having me. It's looking like I was wrong about Joe Biden. WHO's been leading in the national national polls all along and let a lot of the Iowa polls too and that led me to think that he was going to do well in Iowa? What would so wrong for him you know from the beginning? Ah The campaign had a lot of difficulty with their ground game and you saw when you go to Joe Biden events it reminded me a lot of two thousand sixteen and Hillary Clinton There were very few people. The crowds were not enthusiastic. But just like in twenty sixteen It was hard to know how important that was It seems like it seems like you're talking about Like lawn signs when you talk about crowd enthusiasm but does not very scientific It doesn't didn't seem like the the smartest metric by which to judge how a candidate is going to do. And so like like you and like a lot of other people people I was referring to the polling averages and in most of the polling Joe Biden was leading he was leading oftentimes in Iowa. He's been leading a lot of the early escapes leading nationally And so I was. I spent the summer. It's been a while this summer on the campaign trail with him in Iowa and throughout the country three And I spent from May until just now when when caucus night was underway trying to make sense and so that disparity between how he was pulling And what I saw to be You know a lack of enthusiasm at his events among the people people who identify as supporters On the ground The campaign if he got relatively late Torture remember now that He didn't get in until I think it was may officially And the campaign had a bit of difficulty attracting talent early on because a lot of people had already already gone to four campaign or judges campaign and so they had trouble You know hiring the right it could field staff People that they needed to put together an operation each win the caucus And the candidate himself was a problem. He. He didn't spend as much time as everybody else on the campaign trail they can do as many events as somebody like Bernie Sanders who who had had a really exhausting schedule. is constantly doing multiple events today And you Biden is. I don't think it's obvious when you when you listen to him. Speak or or You read about him. But he is a micromanager He's somebody who based on my reporting at least Tends to get wrapped up and more as about the things he should be worrying about like endorsements sore Whether or not he should even be giving the speech that he's scheduled to give and and he tends to get sidetracked by little things like that and he's a difficult all candidates and manage and I think it was kind of a combination of The quirks of the candidates The timing which they got into the race and and the size of the Democratic field that contributed to the campaign is not really having the ground game that they needed and also there when I talked to operative over the last several months in Iowa frustration about Biden's chain and Biden himself and the kind of arrogance that they supposedly had where he didn't feel the he needed to us again. According to these operatives Biden feel that he needed to be backstopping and going out and meeting the people who are influential and chill in these in these precincts in these districts. Oliver Iowa that he didn't need to be playing the game the way that you really do need to play the game in caucus if you don't don't have the type of enthusiasm that Bernie Sanders has And there was a lot of frustration that like Biden seemed like he thought that he was kind of above or didn't need to be participating in this process because his team really does Chink that this coordination that this is his nomination to Muir also on the ground in Iowa were. Were you surprised by the result. By the time I the results were pouring in. I wasn't because of what I had seen as a same as Livia saying he'd have have events where it was just sort of almost lazy old Efforts you bring in John Kerry who won Iowa in two thousand four. That's a long time ago now. Even though you know I I remember pretty. Well you bring in the Firefighters Union. Which again Chris? Dodd brought in the firefighters union in two thousand eight. This is not a way that you win the state these are ways that you sort of kind of check boxes and every single person I talked to at his rallies said well. I think he's the one who can be trump. There was no there was entirely a it was entirely just that it was well. I guess we have to go with this. One woman even said to me. Oh I'm afraid to vote vote for anybody but Biden. I like amy better but I'm afraid to vote for anybody but Biden because I think he's the most electable and then I show up in a in a elementary school that has two two precincts in it one of them. There was no biden precinct. Captain and the other Biden's precinct. Captain was an out of state failed. Politician Fission and in neither of these did he end up being viable meaning heating at fifteen percent in either of these two precincts in council bluffs. which a lot of people thought a working class class type place he was GONNA do well? This was blue collar Joe but he you need organization to do Budaj as campaigns strategies for how they were going to pick up the Biden people the club to our people and the young people and they did it and so they pulled ahead and won both the The one precinct. I was in even though they were trailing Bernie. There was no such organization there it was Sort of Mike Kelly Klein said in the final sprint Biden with sauntering to the finish line. Just jump in here Josh. When fighting speech speech I agree with that? And the same exact thing happened at the precinct on caucus night thirty miles outside moines. But you know when you listen to buy speech on on the campaign trail. It's hard to think of something less inspiring he gets out there and he says he talks about for thirty minutes. What he's not you know? He's not Donald Trump. He's not a pie in the sky socialist and that is how he finds his candidacy. And it's not until I think he spends maybe three minutes total Dole saying what he's for saying what he will do as president. It's really just him kind of freeze those dating and You know struggling to get through His argument for why he is not like Donald Trump and people. I mean there's just it seems like a like a stupid thing to judge by but people don't really what they don't get on their not meanwhile Bernie Sanders spend twenty minutes talking about exactly what people do why he will do it. Why it's important and it's not hard to see whether such an enthusiasm gap right so liz? I'm wondering what you make of this result because Up until this contest there had never been a primary or caucus in the history street the modern democratic nominating process where you have these popular votes That produced more than three candidates with at least fifteen percent of the vote that you need in order to qualify five for delegates this contest produced four such candidates and it very nearly produced five. Amy Klobuchar is only a little bit under that threshold. So you have you know. It's it's a win for Sanders in the popular vote. But but one of the key takeaways from this is that you're not getting the sort of clustering that you normally get nominating process where people start to winnow all five. Five of these candidates came out of this strong enough to continue on to New Hampshire. I think I don't think all five of these candidates will be with us on Super Tuesday necessarily But one thing that I think if you see out of this is just a you know a very split Decision by this electric here. Yeah I think you see a party that could go in a lot of different ways and I think you see a party Who sentiments are divided right so Like Olivia was saying. You have some people who are very very a very focused on nothing but trying to elect the candidate they believe will be strongest against trump because their number one priority at this point is not constructive. It's defensive live. They feel like the most important thing for the country. is not any particular policy or any particular agenda or even any particular Democrat is just getting trump out of office in two thousand twenty. So you have people trying to figure out how to make that happen and triangulate on that front. Then you have people who are sort of of the sense that because huzzah trump is such an unusual president because twenty twenty is set to be such an unusual election possibilities are endless and we have an opportunity to really make an extraordinary political change in this country so there you have headwinds for candidate like Bernie Sanders. Then you have people who say well maybe both maybe we can have someone. WHO's a little bit a lefty and maybe someone who is also safe feeling? In the way that Hillary Clinton was With you know the perimeter of the the the Clinton establishment. And they're they see someone like Elizabeth Warren And then you just have people who like that Pete. Buddha judged as a really great Obama impression. Yeah I mean that's the one of the remarkable takeaways of this for me. Is that we the top two performances here for seemed to be from campaigns. That really understood the roles Pete. Buddha judge Really invested a lot in rural counties which punch above their weight in terms of delegate allocation he managed to win most of the rural counties sanders very effectively organized. These satellite caucuses caucuses. That voted irregular times of day. He won smashing almost uncontested. Majorities in many of them and yet the overall turnout in this caucus was not that good. It was you know. It looks like it's going to be a little bit higher than twenty sixteen but significantly lower than in two thousand eight and and that makes me wonder about how nervous Democrats should be you know. Do they really you have the enthusiasm they need in this race to sanders. In particular of his argument is about I can win the general election because I will activate irregular voters who wouldn't normally show up. I mean Liz. It's not not clear to me that that happened in Iowa. How do we evaluate whether whether sanders can really deliver on that promise? Well he did do well with young people in Iowa I mean you know. Turn out I don't think was historic In Iowa but if you look at the people that Sanders did get especially in the satellite caucuses these you know religious and racial minorities He did a really good job at that and he did activate those voters and and I think that the most important thing is that his campaign showed they can only denies those voters right which was actually kind of a big feet It's not just about making voters who are irregular interested trysted or making them inspired. It's actually about the mechanics of organizing informing making sure that there are logistics in place for Election Day so that people who do you want to vote are able to have the knowledge that enables them to make their voices heard and I think the sanders campaign showed itself be very very gifted in making that happen what loses describing here that the sanders campaign did is what you used to have political parties in other words..
"iowa" Discussed on Left, Right & Center
"This is Josh Barrow and left right and center. You're civilized yet. Provocative antidote to the self contained opinion bubbles that dominate political debate. It's the first week of February and I'd say this was a pretty a busy week. We had the Iowa caucuses sort of the Iowa. Democratic Party has had intense difficulty counting the votes in the caucus in part because the rules governing the caucus are more complicated and arbitrary than the tax code. It seems clear that Bernie Sanders got the most votes while people digest appears to have maybe eked out a plurality of the state's delegates in part because he did especially well in rural areas. Or maybe it's GonNa be Tien. Delegates will probably know by March. The president also gave the State of the Union address and got acquitted in his impeachment trial after which he gave a triumphant triumphant. I guess we can call it a speech in the East Room of the White House where he remarked that the whole Russia thing has been quote both now. The Democratic candidates are in new. Hampshire are preparing for next Tuesday's primary and I am here with the left right and center panel as always. I'm your center. I'm joined by Tim. Carney commentary editor of the Washington. Examiner on the right and left Elizabeth Ruining The New York Times. Hello Hi Josh. Hi Josh Tim. What did you make of the President's state of the Union speech? It was amazing theater. We got a reality television. Show show president and this was the first time that he really did it. Up that way. The fact that half of the speech most of the speech was just introducing the people in the room and like almost oprah winfrey like presenting new cars to people you know He. He hands out scholarships he introduces a a soldier. Coming home to The long lonely bride. Who is is in the chamber? He gave out a medal of freedom. So I'm not saying. I think that this is the way a president should do these addresses. I kind of don't like these addresses. There's way too many the Standing Ovations and that sort of thing. But if you're going to do it he did it the way only donald trump could do it that somebody wants to tell me about writing. The best you can do is be the best issue you can be. That sounds like a third grade teacher. Donald Trump was best donald trump. He could be with that reality. TV Show State of the Union. Liz does that concern. The if if he was the best donald trump he could be in the speech. And maybe you dispute that characterization. Is that something that looks like an effective Approach toward the general election where Democrats are going to be trying to deny him a second term. Did he make a case in here. The you're afraid of going to connect with people. I mean. I think he he has been doing that all along. Right right I mean so. Trump has been the trump is trump. He could be at his rallies for a long time right so this was just a showing in an official capacity where trump took up the trump that he often is at his rallies which is A little bit jocular extremely patriotic and concerned with things that I think. Strike lots of liberals as a ridiculous pageantry but do appear to actually mean quite a bit to everyday Americans that being the sort of outreach to the military and the honoring of American heroes and survivors and so forth. So I mean you know. Is it a way that trump connects with voters absolutely. It's not a new way. It's a way that he's been connecting with voters sixteen and in a way that he continues to and rallies around the country I do think that liberals need to have a better answer to that then What Nancy Pelosi? OC DID which was to rip up her copy of the speech Seemed to be this riff on her clapping at him The last time around she was even wearing bring something identical. I think to to what she was wearing then she seemed to enjoy. Let's say adulation she got out of that So so she went with this tactic. This time I don't think it really landed. It seemed to fall a little bit flat. I felt like the speech felt like three speeches attached to each other. It was almost like they'd been written by three different speechwriters. The first part was largely about the economy and I thought it was. The first part was quite effective. I mean it makes it a somewhat overstated case about how good the economy is but the economy is good by objective of measures. And when you look at survey data on how people feel about the economy people tend to feel about is good about the economy is they felt in the last twenty years. It's a real point of political strength for the president to talk talk about low unemployment and things of that nature and and as I was watching the speech my my initial reaction was Oh democrats really should be afraid of this. If trump focused more on this messaging and less on various various other nonsense he does that his approval numbers would be a lot higher. They'd be up around where they are on the economy. There are substantial number of voters who say that they approve of how trump is handling the economy. But don't approve powys. Handling the presidency overall. Then the second part was sort of the you know immigrants coming to kill you part that That did feel like a lot. Well you hear at rallies from the president Divisive I. Certainly you know I understand that. This works to activate certain parts of his base But I think the majority of the country has all along found this off pudding and then the third part focused on foreign policy and I thought was a little bit weird. There were like these George W Bush style notes about promoting democracy in Venezuela which the administration hasn't actually done that much around? I mean there were some concerns that we might stage some military intervention there. We clearly haven't done that. He talked about the importance of bringing troops home from Afghanistan which is a popular position vision. But of course he's been president for more than three years and he hasn't actually done that so I thought that I thought that undermined the messaging a little bit. And then I have a slightly different take on Pelosi ripping up the speech each. I thought that was effective in that it helped it helped shape the coverage of the speech over the next day and it was basically coverage that focused a lot around trump makes partisan speech that gets partisan a positive and negative reaction. The Chamber and less about trump doubts low on employment. And so so tim. I'm wondering what you made of that. Move from Pelosi because I think if trump truly really had message discipline it would have been a mistake on her part because trump would have been able to rise above it and say well. I'm GonNa talk about how great things are going in America and if Nancy Pelosi wants to be negative she she can be negative. You've of course instead he gets into the negative back and forth and it sort of stops on his economy message surely the bathing trump is a big part of what the Democratic Democrat strategy has been in Since two thousand sixteen general election and when Hillary would talk about how easy he was to bait and then you know in various ways. I think they tried to do that. I I thought it was prudent because it would bring out the evident vices. His lack of virtue is lack of self restraint but on the other hand it lowering yourself into his level and fighting with him still brings yourself down to his level and it's hard to win at his game. I thought it struck me as incredibly petty when I watched it I saw on twitter. Lots so have you go girl reaction out there and I just thought house the average person going to think about this. Are there sort of union guys who stayed home because they wouldn't vote Republican but didn't like Hillary Are they going to now. Show up and say okay. The Democratic Party is fighting for me or are they going to be put off and say this is a a sort of pettiness so my reaction. It's hard to tell how the average voter reacts when we're not average at all indefinitely a conservative who doesn't like trump but my reaction was this. Mostly he makes her look petty. Liz I was wondering what you thought of the foreign policy part of the speech whether you saw a through line of vision that the president was presenting of America's role in the world. Well trump and a little bit erratic on foreign policy that those of us who embraced ourselves selves when trump won in two thousand sixteen hoped that he would stick to this dovish nece That he has telegraphed. And you know. It's it's been a bumpy road there. This recent flirt with Iran being the most disturbing Departure from what had been otherwise Pretty you steady commitment to hesitance And humility in terms of of American military force. Worldwide You know you'd hope to see trump stick to that. I don't put a lot of stock in the messages that he telegraphs in his speeches Precisely because of these incidents where you start to see behavior. That's a little bit unpredictable But I would hope that you know those impulses that he has Somehow rule the day in the end if foreign policy for trump has always been this tension between him. I think instinctually as Lisa saying being where a lot of Americans are. which is? It's not our job to go mess with everybody else. And that's why he talks away. He does about Afghanistan but also a kind of toughness when the democracy Chrissy promotion in in South America leaks in there. That definitely does look like a speechwriter putting it in there and not something trump actually cares about but but ultimately yes every president has had rhetoric on foreign policy that has differed from their actual action and the so I think the interesting things that trump mostly asli has done foreign policy the way we thought he would which is hill kind of punch you in the face if you mess with us. But he doesn't have an interest in a long the ongoing war in another part of the world the response to the speech Came from Gretchen. Whitmer who is the governor of Michigan and she painted a negative picture of the economy. I get when Democratic presidential candidates do this when you look at the polling Democrats have much more negative views on the economy than Republicans do which is typical usually the the party. The the president in power feel better about the economy the Party of the president out of power but this speech it seemed like it was supposed to be aimed at general election messaging. And I just didn't really buy some some of which had to say here when she was saying you know when the President says the economy is strong. My question is strong for whom strong for the wealthy who are reaping awards from tax cuts. They don't need. The American economy needs to be a different kind of strong Liz. You've talked about that. You'd like to see Democratic candidates messaging this by saying you know why can't we take the strength of our economy and use it to invest in things. Does that are better for for more people you know if the economy is strong. Why can't we afford to do X Y and Z? But it seems to me like widmer here is basically just trying to deny the premise that the economy is strong. which I I I just feel like doesn't really fly at least in a general election? Yeah I feel the same way I mean. I think the Democrats feel sort of boxed in because because this obviously is a strength for trump. And I think you've seen Democrats try to message that in different ways some of them have said yes. While the strength of the economy is really a residual from Obama Emma Or you know. The strength of the economy is unpredictable. and has nothing to do with the president comes and goes And then another Answer that you get is the one that that whitmer had. which is well you know? It's not really that strong for everyone at certainly the case that there are still Americans who are struggling right now But there's really no denying that it's a very very tight job market And buy lots of other indicators A pretty strong economy so I mean if it were me I would be saying yes. That's great we're doing in well We're at the top of our game. So why is it that You know mothers still have children and then have to go back to work two weeks later or or have to worry about whether they can take off anytime at all. Why is it that there are people who have to work when they're sick in the food service industry for instance and make other other people sick right now? Everybody's concerned about Corona Virus These kinds of policies are precisely how those dangerous illnesses spread and so on and so forth..
"iowa" Discussed on Talking Politics
"What a great guy big difference I think in two thousand eight is if you strip away the issue of Iraq which was about the passed then? There was scarcely difference in policy terms really between the candidates in two thousand and eight Obama and Clinton and Biden John Edwards. It's not that we're no differences but they were minimal differences. There's actually a big political debate going on in this contest in the Democratic nomination. So you got thought to think about. Well what's the relationship since it between the strategy that they're adopting on substantive positions. They're adopting talking. Politics is brought to you in partnership with the London review of books the Republicans have been enjoying. This trump from family has been enjoying this trump. Junior tweeted thing that low people will have thought and then maybe we'll have dismissed because because it's too obvious. which is these people want? They just want to run the country. If you are the Democratic Party particularly some of these candidates you have a plan plan which is kind of a former planning and it involves quite proactive government. And you're saying we can get this done. We can get this done. And they can't even run this thing they'd go at at that they haven't tested. It doesn't work and you see that and you think of course. Republicans would say that. You can't trust these people to run the country they can't even run a caucus and yet we nine democratic crepe politics some of these things really strike accord that book that we've talked about on this podcast Moxie for realist by Aachen bottles. which new shows among other things? Is that the number of shock. Tax are in an area can determine people's vote in the presidential election even though the president's or reading or responsible for the behavior of shark it's at at least possible this is from being a disaster for Iowa is a disaster for the party of the Left. Well I I. I wouldn't be worried about trump's tweets about the Democrats can't run sorry I should say that's what I mean. You see it coming from that side. There's a tendency to dismiss it. But if he's strip away and just think about the look the the look is definitely bad but I think if it was just a one off the Democrats could overcome summit. What I worry about is it's not just a one off and it speaks to a deeper problem for the Democratic Party and Coming back to your point about Obama versus Bloomberg wind going face to face and the other going technocratic and high-tech media what trump has done as has been diffused the two. He's got the face to face not not macaca spot in his rallies which are a remarkable form of theater phenomena in American politics if you understand the power of trump watch watch a couple of his rallies they are phenomenal theatrical and powerful moments. And whether you like this man or not you have to come away admiring the political acumen. That informs what he's doing and he combined that with a social media platform that is far more sophisticated than what the Democrats have and the trump model needs to be the Democrats model whether it's a left candidate or a center candidate and part of what makes this Iowa technological failure. Oh you're so unnerved. Upsetting is is that this was meant to be the response to trump this after. I don't know if it's developed by Clinton people are not but it is developed by organizations called acronym and Shadow. I love the names and imagine themselves as the Progressive Technical Response Response to what trump has done and one of their first efforts to unveil their technology has completely blown up and so the the more serious issue here is whether the Democrats have the technical sophistication on social media to match trump trump and to marry that to this face to face or tweet to tweet politics. That trump is the master the American politics today. I think there's a kind of repetitive thing. Going on not just in American politics but in European politics as well in other parts of the world whether it's a sort of underlying frame these elections of order versus chaos on the trump definitely was chaos last time and that was the reason why it looked like it was difficult for him to win under the Democrats need to insert themselves as he still chaos. And we're wooder but you just can't when the very first thing that you do in your election cycle for the year regardless looking for the word it's it's to produce chaos i. It's not even about the atmos- Sarah all the symbolism of of it being technocratic freight it's more they were supposed to come up with the leading candidate the drama swath of producing a leading candidate. After all this talk for a year. Somebody all these people were going to be in pole position and then absolutely nothing came in instead. Chaos ensued and that's terrible for the Democrat so last night we have another piece of American political theater. I was thinking about this. I think Malcolm gradual has a thing about sports or some sports which are great live and terrible TV. I think ice hockey's the one and then there are some sports that are much better on. TV than they are live. American football is one so I I think in some aspects of American politics I imagine not that much fun live. I didn't think I wanted to sit through the state of the Union in the room but the the theater of having the speaker of the house sitting behind the presidency. He can't see her and Nancy Pelosi. Whatever else has really exploited the fact that she sitting behind him and she can do stuff so last time it was the sarcastic clapping? This time it was the tearing up of the speech. It's great theater took. It is great theater and I couldn't believe the moments when She ripped up his speech after after he was done and she did it slowly. Methodically wasn't an impulsive. It was not impulsive. It was premeditated she plotting that. For the previous seventy seven minutes or seventy minutes since the since he started but my sense is that trump is. It was a big win for for him. It was an uncharacteristically disciplines speech. I don't think he mentioned impeachment nor Iowa. He went through the list of the achievements of his his administration. He had some great moments of people he was honoring. I don't think this is GonNa work in terms of votes but he reached out to the African American community in terms of a number of the people in the audience the fiasco of Iowa the discipline speech from him which is really we might say the first speech for him of the twenty twenty campaign he also dispensed a lot with what is de Rigueur at state of the Union's which is what makes these events so boring where presidents feel compelled to enumerate their fifteen legislative initiatives. Never understood why and the television age. One would choose this moment to do it just handed out. Let people read it. This should be an occasion Asian more for images direction mood and I think in that respect it was a very successful speech today. He's gotTa be acquitted by the Senate so he won't be removed from office so he has three. I would say three triumphs. This week and his polling is now up to forty nine percent regardless in Gallup Highest with Gallup. It still if you average it out is. It's normal band but I believe it's the highest that Gallup has registered So the Democrats had a bad week and trump had a very good week now the campaign season in the US is very long. I'm not troubled by the fact that one person didn't emerge the clear front runner out of Iowa in fact given the mess at Iowa native things. It's it's actually good that the top four are still in it and they're going to have to win some other states in order to bolt into the lead so unless troubled by that but I am troubled by the chaos and the inability of the Democrats to find the tools as they need thus far to remove trump from office in two thousand twenty so when Oscar onto things have one which just pick able Gary said and then picking on what you said a bit before the ninety policy ties up. The speech can get theater. I think has cast clapping was better but she turned out the speech. After she's presided over a failed failed impeachment process and on the day that her party has made a massive the basis of democratic politics the small D. which is counting people's votes therefore it could look pretty petulant and then trump's speech on this question of what a people stand for so he was not standing for tails last night and he was standing for a form of order and also for prosperity. I mean it was absolutely classic prosperity speech which is a long tradition fished. American politics is quite a good way to win. So he's not chaos anymore on the basis of last night even tearing up the speech each was more like chaos. We might be a bit skeptical. About how long trump is capable of staying in order mode rather than chaos himself and he has given orderly state of the Union so his first State of the union shocked people because it was quite respectable and traditional national. I mean last night was also with the rush. limbaugh thing giving in rush limbaugh the medal of freedom getting Melena to put around his neck. I wouldn't collect water either. That was interest somewhere else but it was still pretty conventional thus far it would seem that the economy is in a bit with some caveats largely on his side on. I suspect that what we're going to see from him and less Bloomberg was be the candidates I suspect he would go in a different direction. It should is lots of attacks. Whoever the Democratic candidate turns out to be on Energie questions because this is an area where they have moved a long way to the left and particularly shale oil industry on the favor of bans on the show sector? Now this oil and gas asses a significant part of the American economy in terms of employment is extremely significant in terms of energy output and Democrats. I think is a party of moving themselves. Hello to a not easily defendable position and is it contempt of general election campaign. If trump really starts attacking on this issue is if say it's particularly cle- important economically in those parts of the country those swing states and elsewhere that will decide. The election is less important for employment in New York. An Yeah it's important for employment cyanide high as the state where it matters but I think it will go back to the older chaos issue is another way of sort of framing the Democrats on the side of chaos full trump. Because it's like we have this what he will present Tarzan economic success on an energy necessity. And the what the Democrats Democrats want today is to tout down. I think you'll be vulnerable. On economic grounds the protect shale. The A lot of farmers suffering in the United States is right now who gave him a lot of votes and depending on how the health crisis goes in China and how that's GonNa Shake International Trade and exports. It could be a very very bad year for Agrarian America coming up and there's a lot of time to the election. We don't know that the numbers he has now got up. Persist assist through then. So I think he's economically vulnerable and also we have to keep in mind that and here the the combined vote of Warnin born in Sanders in Iowa not known as a left wing state by the way the number of those votes for the left indicates the degree to which is very significant. Part part of the electric America has moved left not to the point of socialism but to the point of being very worried about the climate being very worried about poor people being upset about the failure to regulate the social media companies. There are points. Democrats can make very powerfully about the absolute need to regulate the economy regulate political process. And grab back some power..
"iowa" Discussed on Talking Politics
"Ten days You sure it won't be. It won't two hundred and three ballots and that is an example of the deadlock convention. And there's all this maneuvering is different states and different power centers. Founders of the party offered to swap their votes to different candidates and in those hundred three ballot. All kinds of different deals were worked out none of which succeeded. It was deep. Divide between the wet. Al Smith Governor of New York who was Catholic in an opponent of Prohibition and William mcadoo Wilson's son-in-law from the South Protestant reject the support of the KKK Southworth is North Protestant versus Catholic. They finally get wet dry wet versus dry. They finally gave up on one hundred and third ballot and chosen nondescript corporation attorney that from West Virginia who then got hammered in the general election by Calvin Coolidge. It won't go exactly like that because the party bosses don't have the same sort of power but it will become horse swapping and it could go multiple ballots before someone gets the the necessary votes to put them over the top and the Democratic Party. I don't think the split in it is quite as deep as it was in. Nineteen twenty four. Democratic Party is a long history of having deep splits between its various wings but the split is serious and I think the Democratic Party is GonNa be be held up by the divisions between the left and the centre as to what Bloomberg what is substantive policy is going to be what was Franklin Roosevelt's policy before he got into office office in some ways the left set the agenda for what his presidency would be. I think if the Democrats are to be successful the left will influence Bloomberg. Pull them further to left on economic issues than he would otherwise be willing to go and of course his credentials in terms of the what we might call the social liberalism of the left those multi-culturalism high a high regard for identity politics. You know those he has you know he's his credentials are superb. So I don't have trouble imagining. Hymns having substance substance but if he's got a triumph over the left he's going to have to incorporate as Roosevelt did a part of the left into his governing coalition. But on some racial questions as deep problematic with Bloomberg because of what he did his man yes it depends what we mean by multicultural here. But I've got this wrong as an issue isn't I would Bloomberg and PAS the Democratic Party because billionaire Republican Mayor of New York Mike Bloomberg is not a tool what they're looking for yes But he also Juan three elections in multicultural New York City in an overwhelmingly democratic city. So that that is not to be discounted. Sanders has made more inroads in the African American Community Than He did twenty sixteen and the support of Cossio. Cortez in New York as a non white woman and bringing that coalition to him has has made a world of difference but if it sanders and Bloomberg fighting out or Bloomberg and Warren fighting it out I think the key in any of those cases is to make sure sure that there is enthusiastic turnout among people of Color in the United States to vote in the two thousand twenty election because without that the Democrats are not GonNa win at the same time they have have to move beyond their own multicultural base and they have to take a portion of I would say of either. The working class of Michigan and Wisconsin that in Pennsylvania that went for trump so heavily which sanders could conceivably do or they have to pick up significant strengthened Republican suburbs and that means softening economic attack on the rich and playing up cultural cultural liberalism. The thing that I was reminded of as the chaos unfolded on Monday night. Tuesday morning was really those conventions. Nineteen sixty sixty eight nine hundred seventy two now. Obviously there wasn't the violence not contemplating. I think at convention later this year but what it showed I think was if you you look at the distrust that what happened in vote in Sunday's supporters in particular the idea that this was being rigged against them again it isn't just that the sanders's part out of the party is an as you say. Young supporters of the Sun is part of the Party are estranged from the party establishments policies. He's they want something that's more radical in economic terms and they want something that's more radical in healthcare and in particular its estranged from the processes of the Party and that was to nine hundred. Sixty eight is you're on the one hand you've got substantive which which is the war Vietnam War on the other hand you've got this idea that the party bosses fixing the nomination and try to take it away from Eugene McCarthy and when he deserves it and I think we can see something those down armies that might play out in the way in which this nomination contest runs away through to the convention attention but even before this happened and I think it happens every four years that were the newspaper articles saying crazy to start an Iowa's not representative up the country. It's too white. It's to rural. They got this Quirky System Lullaby and the New Hampshire to this race would look so different if you started in in South Carolina and presumably this time it. Would I mean if the first vote was in South Carolina Biden's going to win in South Carolina it would look very different and then that was the chaos so so like those articles from today's now look either through prescient or forty tame. He can start in Iowa. You go to at least now will happen in Iowa but typically see this year given some of these vice we've been talking about. Does it really matter. Are these races really shaped by the sequence of these votes. It's Iowa is not America. It's outlier for America. It's not those swing states. There was some suggestion that the place you should start is in the state that was closest in the las else presidential election. Because that's the most important one. I did it where that would be. It'd be Michigan somewhere or you do them altogether these other options historically has it really mattered. Starting in Iowa Obama one in our and then he went on to win but the islands make to claims one they have a face to face democracy. They discussing awesome deliberate these issues. They bet them thoroughly than anyone else. You can't just cast a ballot. You have to come with all your neighbors and schoolmates and come to the place and talk and Hash Hash it out and then use that doesn't work and then meth. And this is real democracy and connected to that is that procedurally that's a procedural issue connected to that is the substantive issue. This has allowed certain people on the outskirts of American politics. You don't have a big track record to bolt into the visibility of of the nation because they have been on the ground for two years meeting people going to all these little places and they have had breakout in the paradigmatic case is Obama and this time that person would be but a judge and some brady focused on Iowa. Yes yes and I think Obama is is his model and he's had something of the Obama experience another person very little political experience on the outskirts of the centers of power and the Democratic Party. and suddenly he has visibility. He didn't have. I'm still searching for the adjectives to describe what happened in Iowa. You know that no adjective is too extreme shocking. Outrageous had nothing to do there the last two two years but To get this right you don't. We still have all the information on the APP but the word coming out is that it's only been around for two months has not been properly tested or bedded. Did you know that they would screw this. Up is just really beyond belief. And I think it's going to have the effect in this election of diminishing Iowa uh-huh because there's so many questions Helen suggestions about the legitimacy of that vote but it's there's no question the sanders people are GonNa come out of Iowa thinking momentum What stolen from them? That they had something more that they could have had done there. I think Sanders can recover from that. I think the net effect is to say Iowa rest in apiece or to use a trumpism Iowa. You're fired it's fine to Santa's because he's going to win in New Hampshire and if he doesn't win any Hampshire. We will this next week. I mean I think map repeat 'cause I keep saying his name different judge. He's the loser from that. I mean like he would have got more. If he does squeak out a narrow win he would have been the win Two nights ago ago a now. He's the kind of we did okay made and then he's not going to win New Hampshire. The Obama case is interesting because he's a one person with a clue trajectory that comes out of Iowa generally think saying that Bill Clinton came four thin in Iowa. Good for by. It's not a great track record of actually in these contested Democratic nomination processes being the state that determines the winner. You more to. What happens in New Hampshire in the more happens in in Iowa who always really striking in two thousand eight was how generally in the caucus states Obama did extremely well and it was a deliberate strategy? Only Bomba campaigns part. It wasn't just about when it went all the way through. Generally the big primaries will one by the Clinton in two thousand and in the Caucasus. The one by Obama often by big margins which gave him those delegates advantages. Put Him in in the end in an unbeatable position from Hillary Clinton's point of view. So we we can turn this into an issue about Iowa we can say is it about the role of the caucuses because some of the stuff did happen in two thousand and eight to in two thousand and eight. Texas had a primary unequivocal focus on. I'm pretty sure Martin saying again that the Texas caucus results were never released or verified. This had been ignored caucuses generally have got problems regardless of whether they use apps in terms of counting the perception that the counting of this is fair on the actually come producer always producer a clear winner out of a vividly remembering two thousand Obama won in Iowa Than Hillary pulled off the comeback in New Hampshire Carolina. Did that was the decisive for Obama getting up early momentum but which was a primary I two. It's like a bomb is broken through and then it was like Hillary is shut the door again. Because Iowa I new Hampshire New Hampshire is going to set the tone and it didn't that time it's also interesting in a way. The OBAMAS trustees literally observes the Bloomberg strategy so that the Obama strategy is to make like the most of that form face-to-face politics and the Bloomberg strategy is just to spend unbelievable amounts of money on TV ads. Baldo with this woman politics. I'm so Bloomberg ends up on top. This time it will be a hundred and eighty degrees. Turn from the Obama Revolution. Even though he'll die easing technology skillfully and strategizing skillfully Bloomberg is not going from farm to farm in Iowa showing people..
"iowa" Discussed on Opening Arguments
"Yeah. Yeah Yeah what are you on. Yeah believe me. I would rather be caught with that but but in precincts right. There is depending on how you announce who's viable and WHO's not viable bright Because the non viable candidates. Get to get to rearrange. Well you know suppose that You so you know the suppose. The Biden folks are three votes short The Yang folks are five vote short and the Styrofoam folks are ten votes short. Right the way in which you announced that can matter right and and we've saw live on the air people saying hey. The Biden people only need five votes. So you know Yang folks. If you want to go split up you could make them viable Certainly the opposite opposite is also true right like if you took all the Biden people and put them in the Yang camp in my hypothetical that would make Yang vibe right and yet I am one hundred percent positive that if you're an Iowa precinct worker you're far more likely to say hey biden just needs a couple rather than hey yang. Yes needs taboo but from my You know I've heard I've heard some audio of these things and all that and and it's all it's all all the information is there you know they announce how many people are there first and then they also announced so that means viability equals this number of people so like if you're sitting there in the Yang in group and you can't do the math as I do get it Of How many people you haven't whether or not you're viable I. I don't know I mean I. I think that that that's all all that information. Is there for everybody who knows basic even very very basic math. I so I will say this I I agree with you. My my point on that is that Even demonstrating as an individual Iowa Caucus. Goer.
"iowa" Discussed on Intercepted with Jeremy Scahill
"I do. I'm pastor bobby a young who you're going to go in there Rubber basically the has visit me in my neighborhood who is up in well. Well let's see Bernie visit me and that's about it really so you don't you. Don't come to my neighborhood and acting my vote I generally don't vote for you What I like about Bernie over the years he got the same message? He's just like a record he don't change you. Think Bernie can be trump. It became. I really believe he. Can't you know don't count also guys out. We've still got a little fire in front is how do you think he's going to do in your neighborhood burn vern. I think he'd do well because he visited neighborhood. And that's more not considered by most of the candidate. My name is Gerald Hill. How long you lived in Iowa des Moines join the Moines's ninety eight have you caucus every time? Yes you're going to caucus for this time. Are you GONNA make up your mind when you go in there. I'M GONNA make up my mind when I get in there. There's two that I'm trying to decide. Between and then by what do you like about dire. He was right there from the very beginning. Investing of his own self and making a statement against what everybody else saw but nobody said anything the thing about so I feel like I owe that to him For coming out at the very beginning before even announcing his campaign he was invested in impeaching climate. Change which which is the more important. It was more impeaching. What do you think about Barney Warren? Some of the others not warn Bernie yeah I I mean here's the truth. WHOEVER GETS THE NOMINATION GETS my book into like precede thirty six? They realize they're supposed to be at thirty seven. We'll let him go over there vice versa. But it makes you so that were in the gym where the caucus is actually really happening. This is so. So here's something interesting and don't don't hold me precisely to these numbers but you can look up for yourself if you look at the twenty.
"iowa" Discussed on FiveThirtyEight Politics
"That data and you have the data point of Biden's campaign clearly not excited about the results and you have butch kind of declaring victory. I mean I don't know if you I mean you can probably go to these stupid Scottish teams right now predict it and see what the prediction market say right. I mean if I had to like price at this moment moment might be. I don't know might be you know we've now got Iowa Democratic County chairs tagging reporters in like spreadsheets. In the hope of tabulation I guess basically we using crowdsource precinct data that has not all been aggregated where it was supposed to go to get some sort of sense of how the candidates did through the work of journalists. No joke like I. It's probably fifty fifty that that is finished and pretty accurate before Iowa Democrats. Well but you do I mean and remember like if account is don random and biased. Right if you're sourcing suffer twitter than I tell you gonNa have on twitter. It's Warren it's it's a a lot of Warren some certainly loyal sanders fans not many Biden fans right so that's not going to be necessarily like it can be accurate count. Can we talk about Buddha judge you because the data we have nate inventoried. I first of all. It's not much right like A lot of it. I think a lot of people's impressions. Russians are coming from entrance polls which are basically exit polls remember how off exit polls can be. But let's just pretend for a second that Buddha judge did did win Iowa by a couple of points as he's claiming right I think according to our forecast he would have came out of Iowa. Not as the favorite but like okay now in that top tier is that right. I mean depending scenario but like one scenario would be like Buddha Chech- Bernie Biden and a contested convention. We're all kind of be equal and then depending on where Warren finishing that mix. She might be she still. According to the model forecast that we already ran this evening. That spat out kind of the odds that Buddha judge you would have a winning the nomination if he had either narrow or medium win in Iowa it would be between fifteen and twenty percents narrow but actually finishes second right but narrow win win that presumes by often second right. But I mean you can go down there other scenarios in but that's that's one of the messier scenarios but but so let's just just well not for one second. If that is the scenario that unfolded this has A. There's a big chance here that this aut has essentially nullified that for Buddha judge. In other words butch might have gotten a balance at that sort of could have propelled him maybe not to the nomination but as into the top tier for the rest of the campaign or for big stretch of it and and now who knows now. Maybe he doesn't get it. 'cause New Hampshire is right around the corner. Why wouldn't you get it because we we might not know the winner by the time New Hampshire comes around? Here's even if we do. People are going to be undermining the nobody. Can I ask a question about like I mean. It's pretty obvious to me that the Buddha campaign has has like taken a gamble and said well. There's the vacuum. We're GONNA FILL THE SPACE WE'RE GONNA say we won. I mean Laura from WHO's on our broiler bronner from our Y Bloggers August saying that. CNN is still broadcasting Buddha judges speech. I mean let's let's hearken back to twenty sixteen and And the earned media Donald Trump. I mean you know. It's not nothing I just just. I mean I'm sort of curious whether or not voters will will buy this kind of like cl- claim to fame victory. But but I think he has to take a big gamble here because what's a metaphor. It's like it's like you're waiting all your life for your big break and then you finally get your chance and something something something banana peel right. It's like you don't want to move back to Indiana. Yeah it was like when when Serena Williams have that blow up at the. US Open even right. Evade your whole life. You'd be her fair and square and she becomes the lead. Story's remarkable metaphor you. I mean but like like yeah. I don't blame you better. Be Right. You'd better be right. It isn't winning three counts that we'd may eventually get then. That will look bad right three chances right somebody benefits from these obscure rules. Actually I mean I have is like if you're hearing this not seeing this. They're always things. Being tweeted and people are very excited her reading everything. Susan real time. One could be that maybe pete gets a little bit of a balanced but Biden is isn't hurt as much or I don't know it clearly. Have some excuses now. Now if you're biden or someone who underperformed we're hopefully going to get results at some point and then we're going to record another podcast talking about the effects of those so let's not get too carried away with possible narratives and possible result. Let's end on this though because it is getting late and we're probably going to record another podcast accounts sometime soon. Big Picture. What does this all mean for the Gemini of Iowa as first in the nation? I think it's done. I mean this is like I. I think it's done with without. Maybe you can like have a primary will. That won't be done New Hampshire because law. That says they I have to go. I have to be the first looking going. Mary stiff so this is already after months of commentators. And even the candidates candidates themselves railing against w-was position as I in the nation's not only are people prime to believe that it's not fair that I will go as I but now it can't even fulfil that responsibility and let me get let me give credible way right. Let me give is best case. Scenario I was case. Scenario is that a Democrat wins. The general election November is not under any significant primary challenge in two thousand twenty four Republicans are fine with the Iowa Caucus. Because it's I don't know forever reason they're fine with it they don't care about trump trump won by the way the trump tonight that was undisputed. Good job I would. GOP although they have their own mess with Romney and Santorum And so then and then eight years from now. The anger is off Democrats win the election. anyways it turned out to work out fine and then I don't know right but like but like otherwise men. It's like this is like I mean I cannot remember any night well. In American electoral history never nights. When like when like things were very slow the closest thing though is is probably Romney Santorum right where it was a mask thing like a hanging Chad? Give Context Romney Santorum so Romney Santorum Super Close Race in two thousand twelve right on I believe on caucus night the Iwa. GOP Declares Romney the winner right about three weeks later. Something like that They come out at all. Actually Romney didn't win by eight votes with the initial the report Actually Syndrome run by twenty two votes right and so it actually like. We're the at the time I remember thinking. Why aren't people people making a big deal? aww This the Iowa bounces like a staple of the of the primary campaign. It's built into our model and was totally denied his bounds. Don't because it is it's a binary type thing to some extent it's like winning counts for a lot in in the primary doesn't matter if you won by it matters. There's been not you know it doesn't matter as much as maybe it should if you owned by one voter or a billion Sir I got an answer out of Nate Claire and Mega. Do you have any predictions for whether or not this. This is the last Straw for Iowa Apple. A rescaling Taylor. I don't know like tomorrow from Notre Dame like the tradition of tradition people old habits. Die Hard hard nurtures powerful. I don't know about. I don't know this is this is this is a mess. I mean this is just so poorly administered. Yeah because I don't think that's fair to Florida Mica because like we compare hanging chads. There is some degree of ambiguity in vote counting. And if you get to a race where it's within. Oh point point. Oh three percent. You can't answer then you're going to see the ugly underbelly of there's ambiguity around this human error right. I zero we have ebbs zero percent a lote counted. It's twelve forty four in the morning. Ciro counter to say about high vis vis this wasn't in the model. Sorry go ahead Mike. It also wasn't one of eighty nine scenarios coming out of Iowa so nice job So I wouldn't model sometimes times out that you like character and you go and get your slurpee or whatever. I'm really afforded model run being done. You get back and it didn't run human error. He's continuing the metaphor okay. I'm saying two things I would not compare this in Florida in two thousand because I. This is an epic fuck up but it is nowhere near on the scale of Florida in two thousand that was just like I went to the Supreme Court yet and it was literally it was like the general election. Not The primary And again I think this could have a material effect on who the Democratic nominee is but like Florida in two thousand was at the end of the race and clearly had the material. Will this be the last time I goes I in the Democratic primary. If I had a bet right now I'd say yes but I think it's like sixty thirty forty or something. I had his powerful. Well I'm going to take this opportunity to plug the primaries project. I believe that at the end of the third episode we talk about what could spark reform in the process and and fuck up and actually failure. Failure is what spawns reform processes Z.. So we will of course if a Democrat wins at the end of two thousand twenty maybe they won't see it as failure in Iowa will hold onto its position but this could be seen as an opportunity opportunity for system reform for people who think that the Democratic Party. Line whole Gaylon. I will say this what happened over the next twelve hours. I think could be really sort of swing this one way or the other like if in twelve hours. It's all cleaned up which seems unlikely likely now but who knows then you know I. I think this is remembered differently than if it takes a week to to sort out or longer. Well as always we're going to find out and we'll be back.
"iowa" Discussed on FiveThirtyEight Politics
"This is not the podcast. We were expecting the podcast. America deserve this is the podcast. You're getting it is about half past midnight on the East Coast and we have no results. There's some from the AP but we don't even really have partial results. There were hiccups in the reporting process of reporting those. We're going to get into the details of what exactly went wrong and what it means for the Iowa Caucus and as you've already heard were rowdy table here tonight here with me is editor chief. Nate silver. How's it going Just say hello to everyone except the Iowa Democratic Party Clermont alone how are you. I'm here and managing editor. Mike Cowen Harrow. Very nice. Thank you okay. So let's start with the basics. We don't have the results. What happened Claire? What went went wrong? Why don't we know the results of the Kocsis too complicated question actually trauma though we don't have the results because is reportedly although still kind of fuzzy the reporting processes of the Caucus Okkas didn't go? Well they didn't they're they're they're apparently inconsistencies with the way the various reports are coming in honestly we haven't haven't really heard a clear or particularly informative statement from the Iowa Democratic Party there are reports that campaigns are similarly. ILL informed Joe Biden's campaign pain. Sent a a pointed note from the campaign lawyer to the Democratic Party saying deserve answers and then perhaps a a little recklessly. I might say I just report on twitter from Biden surrogate. Chris Dodd basically saying maybe we shouldn't trust these results a little little. Well we were saying and I'm gonNA use his term. I'll take the heat for it. It's a little Trumpian too. I think To maybe knowing you're going to have a bad night or maybe not I don't think can you win by team by team right like it's a little trumpy into kind of throw doubt on the process with that said like the first real crisis management enjoyment is. Tell people what's happening right and we don't have any idea what's happening and I don't think I don't think anybody has any idea. I like just a little example. We we were watching CNN in our newsroom and Wolf Blitzer was interviewing a precinct secretary. who had been on holds for an hour apparently with the Democratic Party Tech Line? He's on the phone with Wolf Blitzer. He finally gets the tech people and he tries to hang up on Wolf Blitzer her but before he can do that. The Tech Line hangs up on him so I think we're just seeing sort of obviously cherry picked primetime example but like this is not been administered. Well until I have some of the details here. The Democratic Party was using an APP in order to report the results and some of the blame name apparently is being placed on the reporting process through that APP. Yeah I think the most we can tell you an apology. Listeners can probably tell from my voice. I'm sick the most we can tell you that there were reportedly technical problems with the APP that as you say Gaylon precincts were supposed is to report their result. There were also lots of reports of problems with like the backup processes if the APP failed right Which means you can still call in the results? If you're not using the APP we just had us to do in Iowa exactly and to to Clare Story. There were apparently people waiting forever to do that. There are problems with that and there were also Repeat is we have heard of declaring a tweet here at twelve. Twelve twenty four. Am for people to judges account. That says Iowa you have shocked the nation by all indications. We are going to New Hampshire victorious. We only have no so. We have no indication. He's got nothing to lose because he I mean okay so let's not amplify that too much before we lay out. What exactly happened here right so I think the most we can take just very generally say three buckets Some tech issues some issues with the more low tech backup process Z's and and maybe nate was saying this before we start recording. Maybe put the weight on this one but there seems some confusion at caucus sites but as nate was saying there's always some control process that they have is not new in fact they've slightly simplified. The process that used to be actually did not elect candidates but state State Party or Delegates County Convention and there was a whole step ladder of conventions. Now you elect a mathematical thing called stick Voto basically you can translate the vote after you realign these delegate equivalents and like sometimes there's a tie you have to bitcoin but like I don't know like the process is the same process that they've had more or less every year for for decades right so you know part what's happening. Though is usually people being the process is a little funny a little archaic and usually in the first hour or so then people are talking about the process right joking about it and complaining about it and then you start seeing results on the scroll on. ABC News or CNN or whatever and no one cares right they're like oh Buddhist twenty three percent who cares about how this process is right. That's number and I like numbers and it doesn't matter but you have now people dwelling on it and I don't know I don't like I don't know why we have literally zero results right. I I don't mean slow is one thing zero is another and and like and like when and no explanation. Either it doesn't make a lot of sense and like you know the the point having a backup system is like having relatively fully functional backup system right so so we're going to hopefully learn more about what happened and we're not going to make this podcast tonight too long because hopefully we will get result somewhat soon but can we move onto woolsey newsletter. No I just I just because the Democratic Party and I would did issue if they meant I just want to get that on the record for the podcast so can I just read that And this is from the Iowa. Democratic Parties Hardy's communications director quote. We found inconsistencies in the reporting of three sets of result. In addition to the tech systems being used to tabulate result we are are also using photos of results and paper trail to validate that all results match and ensure that we have confidence and accuracy in the numbers we report. This is simply implant reporting issue. The APP did not go down. And this is not a hack or an intrusion. The underlying data and paper trail is sound and will simply take time to further report. The results now came out. Though we still heard reporting there was something wrong with the APP. Well there's there's sort of inconsistencies within the statement actually really but it's going to just take time to figure out what happened. I mean. Are we sure there's not. I mean first of all you do have there's paper trail that part that part is true. That's reassuring that's reassuring. You don't have ballots cast ballots. Its people and not ballots. But like they're witnesses and people are very concerned concerned about this and I. It's it's really strange. I can't remember we've been through as a podcast a lot of weird nights in American electoral history and like like this is wrong. Yeah it is. It's really weird but we can I. Let's pull back so if we are it is is like twelve thirty on Tuesday February fourth. A week from now as New Hampshire tomorrow or tonight I guess is the state of the Union Like did I just completely pooped the bed. I mean what is going on here like is this is what I mean in all. Seriousness is this is. We're GONNA matter now if the results are so muddied which by the way I think the trump team you already see them sort of saying well and the Biden demand the Biden team. Saying it's a it's a well. The trump team is saying saying it's a conspiracy to keep Bernie out Something I just using innuendo. It's okay the amount of media coverage given to the Iowa Caucus is a pretty salient factor in the outcome. The Democratic primary right in our model. It's like literally early of variable. There is literally a variable where we say because of the amount of media coverage that Iowa gets we have to give it like hundreds of extra delegates basically basically to create the empirically valid bounce in the model right because obviously doesn't very many delegates right so you have to say okay. We're GONNA treat it as though it's important all by itself itself as Super Tuesday just because the amount of media coverage and if the media coverage decreases because Iowa is a joke or because the story is about about twelve thirty we have literally zero results in like that can have a fairly profound impact on the entire nomination medically forty one delegates out of four thousand punch delegates but but in terms of impact. What you're saying is really the big takeaway here? Is that this whole mess. If it's not cleaned up really quickly and maybe even if it is Could Change. Who is the Democratic nominee? Right at the very least east. You know people on our staff or pointing this out on live blog but typically what happens is you have the IRA result. A handful of people do really poorly in Iowa and they drop out right. That's not happening this year now win. Like no winnowing. The whoever is the actual winner of these caucuses isn't going GONNA get a bounce potentially right or maybe about or who knows. Maybe we'll get a bigger balance because it'll be built up. You don't know Ian Sam's who is Comma Harris's former communications head and prolific tweeter. Find you say so is basically saying which I think is kind of probably what other campaign operatives or thinking. Now which is like New Hampshire just became super important in their two weeks between New Hampshire and Nevada. Did Nevada just become really important to like more so than it would've been Nevada. Another state that has reputation Cauca fucking. Okay that's if you're if you're Bernie Fan let me give you the optimistic spin for Bernie. Maybe doesn't make Hampshire Hampshire more important in Iowa in unless he won Iowa then bad for him all else being equal. I mean it's you might almost Anna. I mean you're probably mad if centers fan because it's but we don't even know who did well okay. So here's the thing we've seen do we have. We have like preliminary data small amounts a better entrance poll entrance. We have a few precincts reporting earlier in the night. According to the we have inventory of the data okay first of all we have our prior prior based on polls pre-election polls where it's sanders one biden to and then more and embiid attach tied for third basically Gli you have the entrance poll not an exit poll which showed Sanders and Buddha touch one. Am when be and Biden and more close you have about two percent of results report of the AP where it looked like like spider was doing poorly and some combination sanders touching more. And we're doing well. You have anecdotal accounts from lots of people tweeting. These results were anecdotally. The conventional wisdom was that Biden had done poorly in some combination of everyone else had done well and it seemed like you know so so so you take all.
"iowa" Discussed on POLITICO's Nerdcast
"You know I remember there was a lot of stories that we wrote and other outlets wrote about how everyone was sort of traveling everywhere. That Iowa wasn't sort the destination place. No one was sort of setting up camp there. I Mean Elizabeth Warren was sort of the steady you know steady build up there but but there was a lot of conversation of like are we nationalized at this point is the you know this is such a national race that is just as valuable to be on. MSNBC's you know Rachel Maddow as it is to you know get an endorsement from some major person in Iowa and I think that that's still still true and I asked you to judge a little bit about this. In the context of it feels like this you know that the state is again sort of reemerging sort of a a focal point for for twenty twenty. Why is that and I think his answer to speak says which is this idea of you sort of had to you couldn't go to Iowa I you had to build Ashley? You had to build up in the same way that he didn't granted you know everyone's right when they when it when they actually succeed and so I think that he he made the argument that basically we he was able to build from the outside in but that never took away from the importance of Iowa and that ultimately everyone was still going to land there it just maybe was going to happen much later in the calendar than Senate has traditionally and I think that we're seeing that that everyone has really come to terms with the fact that you can't walk out of Iowa. There aren't going to be that many tickets. Even though you ask somebody like Amy Klobuchar and she says Oh there's there's like seven or eight tickets out of Iowa. That's pretty it's not exactly believable exactly so. I think that everyone knows that this is really important but but maybe it just happened later than we've ever seen it before. No that actually makes some sense Charlie. What do you think about this? I mean the the idea that you have to organize everywhere in order to take advantage and take advantage of potential boosts that you might get out of Iowa but you still ultimately that's that's necessary but not sufficient you still need that traditional big finish coming out of that first state to kind of prove yourself to take advantage of all that organizing everywhere else. I think this point is really smart the idea that it's nationalized but still as regionalized as ever it meaning you have to get your base on through cable through. MSNBC THROUGH CNN through ripping the trump administration in high profile hearings but then you need to pick a state and you need to pick your path and be smart about it and use either Iowa's the springboard or New Hampshire as the springboard one or the other both preferably but but you ha- it has to be one or the other because you have to prove your viability through South Carolina and and more importantly through through Super Tuesday in the beginning of March. It's interesting though that nobody really has tried own New Hampshire yet I mean right. I mean like it doesn't really like anyone has actually set up shop there and claim that as their space space I mean arguably maybe worn sanders in part because of their proximity to it and their success there in the past I mean or at least standards is success in the panic. Nobody's really set up shop there bear. I totally agree with you and you can tell me whether it's BS theory or not but my theory on this is that it's because it's an open primary there and there are so few centrist was running on the democratic side that you're not going to try to base your campaign New Hampshire where you might be rewarded. People don't understand about Iowa is because I think especially on the east coast you know with all the stereotypes about the Midwest and things like that people often think Iowa is a conservative state. It's a you know an agricultural state. They don't realize the state synchronic party. There is very progressive and has always been very very progressive so that's a very liberal state and that's well suited to many of the candidates in the field whereas New Hampshire. I'm sure it's a little more complicated. It's a little trickier because the mechanics of that primary and then also it you when once you get to South Carolina I mean a big part of Biden's strength with African American voters is potentially the African American voters tend to be a little bit more moderate than than White Democrats no right. That's that's exactly right. He's you know but again you go back to the path of their think Charlie brought up earlier you have to do well in Iowa. If Elizabeth Warren just crushes it and he's already slowly building with African American electorate right now than what does that do does that does that that end up eroding. What he thinks is his firewall? lots of things can change and I think that's why you're seeing Biden playing hard in Iowa but also making sure he's managing expectations there air and making sure that he has other viable pats without a doubt Carolina. I'm beyond Ray Right Charlie. I don't think he'd overstate. The importance of the Iowa South Carolina next meaning Iowa is essential to Biden Tacoma Harris and cory booker the two African American candidates and it's essential to warrant to perform well there because what we've seen in this is the the Barack Obama experience in two thousand eight. What we've seen is if you want to convince the pivotal the essential constituency in the democratic accredit party the party that you can't win the nomination without having a foothold in that is African Americans? You have to prove it in Iowa to them that you're viable. That's what Obama did and that's how he came tim roaring back from behind against Hillary Clinton by doing that convincing South Carolina African Americans by winning Iowa and I think the same dynamic applies in this primary to particularly to the four candidates. I was talking about okay so maybe the idea that you know the the person who finishes seventh or eighth in Iowa gets this big boost of momentum is is a little ludicrous but really how many how many people are there like how many tickets are there for someone to to show well and then and then go on from there. Maybe have a chance of winning New Hampshire or Nevada or anything that comes next. I say that there's no more than three or four tickets out of Iowa. Maybe just three I think that there's an eagerness if if not a demand from the from Democratic primary voters that they want this to get down to a nominee whether or not that actually happens whether or not there's somebody like Bernie Sanders who sticks it through till the end to bring the whole place down or some other candidates us do that. I mean it may not matter what we think but I think that like in terms of viability in the minds of voters and donors. I can't be more than three or four tickets. Does that sound right to you. Yeah I mean I I think we've written about that and I don't see a lot of room beyond that and you know keep in mind the fifteen percent viability threshold so you have to have right. You have to have a certain minimum so I mean it. It's math but but yeah I mean I think I think we see this every cycle. That's you know that's where a lot of people end up dropping out. It's after Iowa well clearly a very important potentially be most important state. I think we should get this group back together a couple more times before we get to early February and talk about it Natasha. Thanks so much for hopping on the phone. Thanks Charlie Elena. Thanks.
"iowa" Discussed on ESPN Chicago 1000 - WMVP
"Bennett Joey Meyer from Welsh Ryan arena. Iowa nine two over the Wildcats with fifteen fifty one to go here in the first half cancer shooting. Just fourteen percent one for seven old for four from beyond the arc. I ventured that they had not given up a three point Gilgal since the Michigan state game where they gave up a few but against Illinois. The a lot I were over eleven from three point land. That's the first time northwestern held at opponent without a three quarter since two thousand eleven and only the seven Madonna in the nation so far this year. But they've already given a lot up here. Tonight, anything striking you early gel the zone that northwestern came out in surprise me. Confused, Iowa early Iowa tax early and beat it zone down the Florida. That's how they got the three in the layups. And now Iowa who likes to change defense is coming up little full-court brushes. Turner to law three-quarters court stops and pizza and across the Turner to bring it to the front court now Iowa drops back Tertre. On the dribble back guarded glides. Back to the left. Our rough quarter Taylor repeats Turner, circling to the right picks up his dribble out all the right law. Started on the baseline tunnel. Tries get against we camped at his pass to the corner is intercepted by loss. Trying to get a cross Taylor as we scap spotting up. All the left wing inside creator goes up and utter to shop locked out of bounds by party rezoned has ended that was an experiment that maybe a first couple plays confused. Chris going back to his bread and butter Miller top comes out and the sophomore Anthony gains for the Wildcats gauge eleven points on Sunday, including back to back threes. The second half is a speed under the basket waste. Can't can't shoot goes out to creator circles to the top use camp does to bear with it. Cross. Tomasz left point against Taylor gets a screen drought creator. Now, boss. Driving stops at the foul. His shot blocked by Taylor Paul loose. The floor picked up underneath stupak up by creator. No. The Reebok rabbi Taylor. Gazed out the left to the Wildcats drives past bear. All land reverses. At a foul play by Anthony gay. I like you on the dribble northwest. But settled for jumpers. That's not gauge drank right? There's a strength. Take the ball the basket strong first fallow. The game. And that will sat out to the games to the line for the one. Bow on bear. Gave Lucas Garza for the hawk is checks. Checks it along with Qatar McCaffrey redshirt freshman. Cars.
"iowa" Discussed on WJR 760
"To would 52 to go sparked pastrana opened the big tibbs season with a win here at home over a very physical iowa hawkeye team had so far so good michigan state seventeen iowa ten i would just burdett's last time out second down about seven for the spartans that the thirty seven yard line of iowa i as offset laugh by lucas in front of lj for working czechs also golina's scrummage and we have a flag start offense number seventy five yard penalty second out of a stake up on the offensive line six penalties for fifty yards six for forty two against iowa brian yorkey going back to get some communication straight with eltingh scott for a reason shower it regarded he was a slap in the ball second down twelve back at the forty one yard line handoff that lj rugs who was right smith is out of the grass but the line of scrimmage and falls forward to the thirty eight yard light tough three yards per lj nathan budgett a makes the tackle for iowa third down nine clock running with two and a half left the balls that the thirty eight yard line of iowa spartans with a seventeen to ten leed l j thirteen carries for thirty two tough yards right now the clock is your friend here we're door slow it's possible will get down i let writer of 202 and call timer spartans left at play clock run down to a splitsecond a then took a time out with down to 202 as jason said 202 to go in the game and we gotta woke up axel hoyer father of former star quarterback ryan hoyer now the san francisco forty nine irs up here at the game on the grab a proper too and one of those famous burgers he he loves will we level do yeah grimes that british strong career is he has undrafted about their started up a high tom brady with new england and now the starter in san francisco substabnce along the way including last year with the chicago bears michigan state third of nine bought up to thirty eight yard line of iowa 202 to go with a game thai back yemba workey has lj to his right and the shotgun delayed handoff lj hit the back field knocked out by guess who josie juul back at the forty two a.
"iowa" Discussed on WJR 760
"To make the stop thirteen tackles virtual said credible leading tackling the big ten three years running lj scott returns at running back second down eleven spartans just inside their 45 will work he has lj to his right play fake the lj type to throw a throws rice i think you're tip grab by felt davis he makes the grab at the 42 yard line of iowa for a first down josh jackson on the coverage as play action past there get the linebackers supplied up a little bit you put cushion there as they've been given to pick they've been give it felt day with a lot a cushion all day long and he's having a monster daytoday six four at 195 plays lucky vitamin b taller nine catches one hundred fourteen yards first 10 sparked is that the iowa forty two seven t ten fsu at the fourth the work you starts to his left south wants to throw it does it out leftsided lj scott lj with the grab quite his way waited a forty yard line banned niva non stop on a half busted play was five in forty seven a go with a game michigan state seventeen iowa chant now he was trying to go deep there as he was moving to his left burma worke and he didn't start to drop back but ahmed spartan held with the white paper he slipped again that putting out there what wha safetyvalves elti scott stewart set left felt davis still the right offset set out of the right the fact bill force sweep left the lj ankle tackle made by ali hooker near the left sideline vance up maybe it was a hit out of bounds out of bounds at the forty fans oh like that that was you had already given himself up he was out of bounds to try the jump over oh man aj epa nasa yeah yeah all prodi jogger and mehta hit the was not flagged third down eight spartans at the iowa forty inside five minutes left spartans leave seven t to tan we'll work you take the shotgun snap things it rightsided complete off the fingertips of felt davis og bhutia back in the game on the coverage he's a big corner at six two one two hundred.
"iowa" Discussed on WJR 760
"Iowa takes over after the missed field goal first it tanit at their thirty yard line natshe stanley at the controls gene daniels out but with the football one step back it's widely family steps away from a sack dry role to his left throws out the runup field if caught by banda bargaining steps out of out vanderberg bergkamp stanley team up for a heads up aired live play at the forty six yard line sixteen yard pickup band of urged steps out of bounds at the time joe boxer was right there in stanley face where another sectors was able to avoid the pressure step up of aachen and throw spiteful first now first attempt iowa at their 46 hands off the wildly rustu to his left the way from a tackle and not the next roll down after a twoyard pick up by rakwana william at the forty eight yard line second down and eight the spartans defending the south end zone door right here in the fourth above rick williams missed a tackle and here got to tackle its eighteen have to that state with the play second out eight throws it left side for want late who sparked each other but the pursued is still terrific down goes acura widely at the forty five yard line of evidence you andrew dow will may the stop at the forty six yard line of michigan state that'll mean its third and two for the iowa hawkeye and other victim move thereby wildly going a step back cut forcing chris ryan joe box you to collide almost picking up a first album pursuit with.